. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Jan 11.

Published in final edited form as: J Risk Uncertain. 2016 Sep 13;52(3):233–254. doi: 10.1007/s11166-016-9242-y

Table 4.

Model selection results based on posterior probability.

Model	# Best (Highest Prob.)	log(gBF)	Expected Probability
Exponential	2	−9.584	0.098
Hyperbolic	7	−6.990	0.146
Constant Sensitivity	8	11.535	0.187
Generalized Hyperbolic	4	−4.248	0.125
Beta-Delta	2	−21.041	0.077
Double Exponential	7	15.579	0.200
Coin Flip	7	0.000	0.166