Table 2.
Trials for the treatment of advanced colorectal cancer. The surrogate endpoint indicates cancer progression (or not) between 3 and 6 months. The true endpoint indicates overall mortality (or not) by 12 years.27 The estimated treatment effects are differences in fractions that account for censoring.15
| Trial | Estimated effect of treatment on the surrogate endpoint | Estimated effect of treatment on the true endpoint | Average sample size per arm | Estimated sampling variance of the effect of treatment on the true endpoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| i | xi | yi | ni | wi |
| 1 | 0.0101776 | −0.00300867 | 434 | 0.00223822 |
| 2 | 0.0175788 | 0.0474206 | 272 | 0.0040373 |
| 3 | 0.0600888 | 0.137713 | 184 | 0.00516377 |
| 4 | 0.0609015 | 0.0000155292 | 490 | 0.00228519 |
| 5 | 0.0925625 | 0.0398926 | 488 | 0.00202247 |
| 6 | 0.1018 | 0.079676 | 310 | 0.00320678 |
| 7 | 0.169392 | 0.15072 | 422 | 0.00229129 |
| 8 | 0.178005 | 0.144626 | 136 | 0.00701305 |
| 9 | 0.199408 | 0.170422 | 206 | 0.00510997 |
| 10 | 0.339943 | 0.200604 | 148 | 0.00219454 |