Table 4.
RR, 95% CI, and P Values for the Associations Between Traditional Risk Factors and Incident Heart Failure Given When the Risk Factors Were Measured at 5 Examination Cycles (50, 60, 70, 77, and 82 Years)
| Variable | IRR | 95% CI Upper | 95% CI Lower | P Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMI | ||||
| BMI at age 50,y | 1.58 | 1.07 | 2.35 | 0.023 |
| BMI at age 60,y | 1.49 | 1.16 | 1.91 | 0.002 |
| BMI at age 70,y | 1.40 | 1.22 | 1.61 | <0.001 |
| BMI at age 77,y | 1.34 | 1.16 | 1.55 | <0.001 |
| BMI at age 82,y | 1.30 | 1.07 | 1.57 | 0.008 |
| LDL | ||||
| LDL at age 50,y | 1.18 | 0.74 | 1.86 | 0.492 |
| LDL at age 60,y | 1.15 | 0.86 | 1.55 | 0.350 |
| LDL at age 70,y | 1.13 | 0.94 | 1.35 | 0.186 |
| LDL at age 77,y | 1.11 | 0.92 | 1.34 | 0.264 |
| LDL at age 82,y | 1.10 | 0.87 | 1.40 | 0.433 |
| HDL | ||||
| HDL at age 50,y | 0.47 | 0.28 | 0.80 | 0.006 |
| HDL at age 60,y | 0.61 | 0.43 | 0.85 | 0.004 |
| HDL at age 70,y | 0.78 | 0.64 | 0.94 | 0.009 |
| HDL at age 77,y | 0.93 | 0.79 | 1.09 | 0.355 |
| HDL at age 82,y | 1.05 | 0.85 | 1.30 | 0.663 |
| SBP | ||||
| SBP at age 50,y | 2.87 | 1.65 | 4.99 | <0.001 |
| SBP at age 60,y | 2.09 | 1.47 | 2.97 | <0.001 |
| SBP at age 70,y | 1.52 | 1.25 | 1.85 | <0.001 |
| SBP at age 77,y | 1.22 | 1.01 | 1.47 | 0.044 |
| SBP at age 82,y | 1.04 | 0.81 | 1.33 | 0.778 |
| Triglycerides | ||||
| Triglycerides at age 50,y | 1.05 | 0.91 | 1.21 | 0.536 |
| Triglycerides at age 60,y | 1.02 | 0.92 | 1.12 | 0.716 |
| Triglycerides at age 70,y | 0.99 | 0.90 | 1.09 | 0.843 |
| Triglycerides at age 77,y | 0.97 | 0.85 | 1.10 | 0.654 |
| Triglycerides at age 82 | 0.96 | 0.82 | 1.12 | 0.592 |
| Glucose | ||||
| Glucose at age 50,y | 1.09 | 0.94 | 1.26 | 0.259 |
| Glucose at age 60,y | 1.09 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.051 |
| Glucose at age 70,y | 1.10 | 1.05 | 1.15 | <0.001 |
| Glucose at age 77,y | 1.10 | 1.05 | 1.16 | <0.001 |
| Glucose at age 82,y | 1.11 | 1.03 | 1.19 | 0.008 |
| Smoking | ||||
| Smoking at age 50,y | 1.74 | 0.84 | 3.60 | 0.138 |
| Smoking at age 60,y | 1.58 | 1.01 | 2.47 | 0.043 |
| Smoking at age 70,y | 1.44 | 1.12 | 1.87 | 0.005 |
| Smoking at age 77,y | 1.36 | 1.00 | 1.84 | 0.050 |
| Smoking at age 82,y | 1.29 | 0.85 | 1.96 | 0.223 |
The RRs are based on an interquartile range change in each continuous risk factor during a 5‐year follow‐up from each examination. BMI indicates body mass index CI, confidence interval;; HDL, high‐density lipoprotein; LDL, low‐density lipoprotein; RR, rate ratios; SBP, systolic blood pressure.