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. 2018 Feb;24(2):210–220. doi: 10.3201/eid2402.160122

Figure 5.

Figure 5

Time series decomposition using LOESS regression for bubonic plague, Orientale Province, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2004–2014. Plague did not vary seasonally. The trend was decreasing after 2006. Remainder (residuals) explained 63% of model variance, trend 22% and seasonality 8% only.