Table 3b:
Comparison of candidate models in Table 3a. by mean Area Under the Curve (AUC), sensitivity (Sen, %) and specificity (Spe, %) to predict the age class for 86 male brown bears
| Adult age (y) | N | Immature | Adult | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean AUC (95% CI) | Sen | Spe | Mean AUC (95% CI) | Sen | Spe | ||
| ≥3 | 86 | 0.96 (0.92–0.99) | 83.3 | 93.2 | 0.96 (0.92–0.99) | 93.2 | 83.3 |
| ≥5 | 86 | 0.94 (0.89–0.98) | 86.5 | 79.4 | 0.94 (0.89–0.98) | 79.4 | 86.5 |
| ≥4 | 86 | 0.95 (0.91–0.99) | 87.5 | 84.2 | 0.95 (0.91–0.99) | 84.2 | 87.5 |
| Model based on reduced data set excluding records for 3-year-old bears | |||||||
| ≥3 | 80 | 0.96 (0.93–0.99) | 85.7 | 89.5 | 0.96 (0.93–0.99) | 89.5 | 85.7 |