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. 2018 Jan 29;6(1):coy001. doi: 10.1093/conphys/coy001

Table 4a:

Candidate models that were most supported (∆AICC = 0.00) for predicting the age class (immature or adult) of 83 female brown bears. Each model was the outcome of one of four individual analysesa. For the first three analyses, we used different age thresholds (≥3, ≥4 or ≥5 years) for adulthood while retaining all records in the data set. For the final analysis, we re-analysed the data set that was used for the most supported model (∆AICC = 0.00), but excluded the records for bears at the threshold age (in this case, 3 year olds)

Adult age (y) N Model Most supported model structureb K AICC ∆AICC wi Accuracy (%)
≥3 83 Hormone + study area (test × cort3) + test2 + cort + (test × sa) 7 80.10 0.00 0.91 77.1
≥5 83 Hormone + study area (cort × sa) + (test2 × sa) + (cort3 × sa) 8 86.84 6.74 0.99 74.7
≥4 83 Hormone + study area (test2 × sa) + est3 5 93.28 13.18 0.90 77.1
Model based on reduced data set excluding records for 3-year-old bears
 ≥3 77 Hormone only (with interactions) test2 + prog3 + (prog × cort) + est + (prog × cort3) 9 84.97 0.00 0.49 79.2

aStatistics are number of estimable parameters in model (K), sample-size-adjusted Akaike information criterion (AICC), difference in AICC between top model and model i (∆AICC), Akaike weight (wi) and accuracy (%).

bVariables are testosterone (test), progesterone (prog), estradiol (est), cortisol (cort), ordinal day (d) and study area (sa).