Table 4.
Predicted risk of cardiovascular mortality the validation cohort based on various cut-offs.
Cut-off (%) for risk scores | Mean predicted risk (%) | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | Positive Predictive Value (%) | Observed risk % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cardiovascular mortality | ||||||
Top 5% | 29.12 | 40.30 | 18.80 (13.30 to 25.30) | 96.00 (94.70 to 97.00) | 40.70 (29.90 to 52.20) | 40.74 |
Top 10% | 23.32 | 34.48 | 28.40 (21.90 to 35.70) | 92.80 (91.20 to 94.20) | 36.80 (28.70 to 45.50) | 36.76 |
Top 15% | 20.43 | 30.42 | 36.40 (29.30 to 43.90) | 88.60 (86.60 to 90.30) | 32.00 (25.60 to 38.90) | 32.00 |
Top 20% | 18.31 | 27.50 | 44.30 (36.80 to 52.00) | 83.80 (81.60 to 85.90) | 28.80 (23.50 to 34.60) | 28.78 |
Top 25% | 16.78 | 25.70 | 51.10 (43.50 to 58.70) | 79.90 (77.50 to 82.10) | 27.30 (22.50 to 32.40) | 27.27 |