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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Dec 9.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet. 2017 Sep 8;390(10112):2569–2582. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31610-0

Table 2.

Results of Regression Analysis of Cumulative Burden by Demographic and Treatment Exposures

Model 1*: Overall Rate Model 2*: Propensity for a Higher Grade Condition


Grade 2 vs. 1 Grade 3–5 vs. 1
RR (95% CI) P value OR (95% CI) P value OR (95% CI) P value
Gender

  Male - - Ref Ref

  Female - - 1·26 (1·18 – 1·35) <0·001 1·31 (1·22 – 1·41) <0·001

Race

  White - - Ref Ref

  Other - - 1·00 (0·92 – 1·09) 0·93 1·15 (1·05 – 1·27) 0·003

Age at Diagnosis

  0–4 Ref Ref Ref

  5–9 0·71 (0·66 – 0·76) <0·001 1·04 (0·95 – 1·13) 0·39 1·12 (1·01 – 1·24) 0·029

  10–14 0·46 (0·43 – 0·50) <0·001 1·06 (0·93 – 1·19) 0·38 1·26 (1·10 – 1·44) <0·001

  15+ 0·33 (0·30 – 0·35) <0·001 1·06 (0·90 – 1·26) 0·47 1·51 (1·28 – 1·78) <0·001

Year of Diagnosis

  <1980 0·48 (0·44 – 0·51) <0·001 1·21 (1·08 – 1·35) 0·001 1·57 (1·36 – 1·80) <0·001

  1980–1994 Ref Ref Ref

  1995 or Later 2·54 (2·37 – 2·72) <0·001 0·94 (0·82 – 1·07) 0·34 0·59 (0·51 – 0·68) <0·001

Anthracycline Dose

  None Ref Ref Ref

  1–249 mg/m2 1·18 (1·10 – 1·27) <0·001 0·89 (0·81 – 0·98) 0·015 0·78 (0·71 – 0·85) <0·001

  ≥250 mg/m2 1·22 (1·12 – 1·33) <0·001 0·94 (0·84 – 1·05) 0·28 0·95 (0·85 – 1·07) 0·40

Methotrexate

  No Ref - - - -

  Yes 0·83 (0·75 – 0·91) <0·001 - - - -

CED Dose**

  None - - Ref Ref

  1–6,300 mg/m2 - - 1·04 (0·94 – 1·14) 0·48 1·04 (0·94 – 1·16) 0·42

  6,301–10,893 mg/m2 - - 0·98 (0·89 – 1·08) 0·62 0·99 (0·90 – 1·09) 0·86

  ≥10 ,893 mg/m2 - - 1·10 (0·99 – 1·21) 0·06 1·12 (1·01 – 1·25) 0·023

Bleomycin

  No - - Ref Ref

  Yes - - 1·20 (1·04 – 1·38) 0·010 1·25 (1·06 – 1·47) 0·006

Cytarabine

  No Ref - - - -

  Yes 1·23 (1·13 – 1·34) <0·001 - - - -

Plant Alkaloids

  No Ref - - - -

  Yes 0·88 (0·82 – 0·96) 0·001 - - - -

Platinum Agents

  No Ref Ref Ref

  Yes 1·29 (1·16 – 1·43) <0·001 1·12 (0·98 – 1·29) 0·09 1·07 (0·92 – 1·23) 0·38

Steroids

  No Ref Ref Ref

  Yes 1·13 (1·02 – 1·26) 0·016 0·97 (0·87 – 1·07) 0·50 0·92 (0·84 – 1·01) 0·08

Brain Radiation Dose***

  None Ref Ref Ref

  <18Gy 1·08 (0·97 – 1·20) 0·17 1·12 (0·95 – 1·31) 0·16 1·07 (0·92 – 1·24) 0·37

  18–<30Gy 1·04 (0·97 – 1·12) 0·28 1·11 (1·00 – 1·24) 0·05 1·14 (1·03 – 1·28) 0·014

  30–<40Gy 1·19 (0·93 – 1·52) 0·15 1·09 (0·76 – 1·56) 0·63 1·10 (0·78 – 1·55) 0·56

  40+Gy 1·57 (1·43 – 1·72) <0·001 1·27 (1·09 – 1·46) 0·001 1·24 (1·09 – 1·42) 0·001

Chest Radiation Dose***

  None Ref Ref Ref

  <10Gy 0·95 (0·87 – 1·05) 0·33 1·20 (1·03 – 1·40) 0·015 1·08 (0·92 – 1·28) 0·34

  10+Gy 1·41 (1·32 – 1·50) <0·001 1·31 (1·18 – 1·46) <0·001 1·14 (1·01 – 1·28) 0·030

Pelvic Radiation

  No - - Ref Ref

  Yes - - 1·12 (1·01 – 1·24) 0·029 1·05 (0·94 – 1·18) 0·35
*

For both models, backward selection was conducted from a set of exposure variables.

**

CED Dose: Cyclophosphamide equivalent dose with category cutoffs based on tertiles.

***

Assigned dose is the maximum dose received within the region.