Table 3.
Summer UVR measures and relapse hazard | Winter UVR measures and relapse hazard | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Failures/person-years (rate) | HR (95% CI) |
Failures/person-years (rate) | HR (95% CI) |
||||
Univariable | Adjusteda | Univariable | Adjusteda | ||||
Summer UVR-load 6–10 years old (kJ/m2) | Winter UVR-load 6–10 years old (kJ/m2) | ||||||
0–228 >228–323 >323–383 >383–488 Trend: |
66/235.56 (0.28) 77/262.48 (0.29) 40/220.65 (0.18) 24/173.87 (0.14) |
1.00 (reference) 1.16 (0.66, 2.06) 0.87 (0.51, 1.50) 0.48 (0.28, 0.83) p = 0.006 |
1.00 (reference) 1.11 (0.70, 1.77) 0.92 (0.59, 1.42) 0.54 (0.34, 0.87) p = 0.010 |
0–31 >31–52 >52–100 >100–544 Trend: |
59/231.23 (0.26) 51/258.75 (0.20) 47/215.54 (0.22) 50/187.05 (0.27) |
1.00 (reference) 0.75 (0.46, 1.24) 0.82 (0.43, 1.55) 0.76 (0.40, 1.45) p = 0.44 |
1.00 (reference) 0.81 (0.51, 1.27) 0.97 (0.59, 1.58) 0.83 (0.45, 1.53) p = 0.68 |
Summer UVR-load 11–15 years old (kJ/m2) | Winter UVR-load 11–15 years old (kJ/m2) | ||||||
0–229 >229–313 >313–360 >360–482 Trend: |
66/234.11 (0.28) 76/229.39 (0.33) 39/259.77 (0.15) 26/169.30 (0.15) |
1.00 (reference) 1.22 (0.70, 2.14) 0.70 (0.43, 1.14) 0.55 (0.29, 1.08) p = 0.015 |
1.00 (reference) 1.26 (0.78, 2.02) 0.85 (0.56, 1.30) 0.67 (0.38, 1.19) p = 0.072 |
0–33 >33–53 >53–104 >104–530 Trend: |
61/237.34 (0.26) 48/235.30 (0.20) 43/218.56 (0.20) 55/201.37 (0.27) |
1.00 (reference) 0.73 (0.45, 1.18) 0.73 (0.39, 1.36) 0.76 (0.42, 1.38) p = 0.39 |
1.00 (reference) 0.70 (0.45, 1.09) 0.81 (0.50, 1.30) 0.87 (0.50, 1.49) p = 0.76 |
Summer UVR-load 16–20 years old (kJ/m2) | Winter UVR-load 16–20 years old (kJ/m2) | ||||||
0–188 >188–266 >266–337 >337–491 Trend: |
75/232.69 (0.32) 63/222.79 (0.28) 43/244.31 (0.18) 26/192.78 (0.14) |
1.00 (reference) 0.94 (0.52, 1.72) 0.70 (0.42, 1.16) 0.51 (0.24, 1.07) p = 0.028 |
1.00 (reference) 0.95 (0.54, 1.66) 0.85 (0.53, 1.35) 0.79 (0.41, 1.51) p = 0.38 |
0–28 >28–45 >45–80 >80–556 Trend: |
78/239.42 (0.33) 52/254.66 (0.20) 45/192.52 (0.23) 32/205.97 (0.16) |
1.00 (reference) 0.70 (0.42, 1.15) 0.73 (0.36, 1.45) 0.42 (0.24, 0.71) p = 0.002 |
1.00 (reference) 0.73 (0.48, 1.12) 0.82 (0.43, 1.54) 0.62 (0.39, 0.98) p = 0.078 |
Summer UVR-load 21–25 years old (kJ/m2) | Winter UVR-load 21–26 years old (kJ/m2) | ||||||
0–148 >148–237 >237–329 >329–494 Trend: |
60/194.49 (0.31) 36/196.10 (0.18) 63/210.98 (0.30) 33/227.37 (0.15) |
1.00 (reference) 0.66 (0.37, 1.16) 1.07 (0.59, 1.95) 0.56 (0.29, 1.09) p = 0.29 |
1.00 (reference) 0.78 (0.51, 1.18) 1.37 (0.83, 2.26) 1.06 (0.61, 1.86) p = 0.36 |
0–24 >24–44 >44–85 >85–285 Trend: |
66/230.68 (0.29) 51/207.96 (0.25) 19/197.42 (0.10) 56/192.87 (0.29) |
1.00 (reference) 0.96 (0.55, 1.66) 0.34 (0.17, 0.65) 0.79 (0.45, 1.37) p = 0.19 |
1.00 (reference) 1.16 (0.73, 1.83) 0.50 (0.27, 0.92) 1.11 (0.68, 1.81) p = 0.98 |
Summer UVR-load 26–30 years old (kJ/m2) | Winter UVR-load 26–30 years old (kJ/m2) | ||||||
0–143 >143–228 >228–329 >329–510 Trend: |
50/168.47 (0.30) 43/214.71 (0.20) 43/160.88 (0.27) 25/218.57 (0.11) |
1.00 (reference) 0.68 (0.40, 1.17) 0.89 (0.41, 1.91) 0.45 (0.24, 0.86) p = 0.093 |
1.00 (reference) 0.89 (0.51, 1.54) 1.25 (0.61, 2.56) 1.00 (0.47, 2.11) p = 0.69 |
0–21 >21–44 >44–70 >70–411 Trend: |
46/218.58 (0.21) 51/198.80 (0.26) 25/204.45 (0.12) 39/140.81 (0.28) |
1.00 (reference) 1.22 (0.73, 2.04) 0.46 (0.26, 0.82) 0.90 (0.44, 1.82) p = 0.35 |
1.00 (reference) 1.45 (0.89, 2.37) 0.75 (0.42, 1.32) 1.22 (0.65, 2.29) p = 0.87 |
Summer UVR-load 31–35 years old (kJ/m2) | Winter UVR-load 31–35 years old (kJ/m2) | ||||||
0–136 >136–218 >218–328 >328–465 Trend: |
37/156.09 (0.24) 22/165.80 (0.13) 43/187.47 (0.23) 21/149.85 (0.14) |
1.00 (reference) 0.53 (0.27, 1.05) 0.99 (0.46, 2.10) 0.68 (0.35, 1.31) p = 0.72 |
1.00 (reference) 0.71 (0.39, 1.27) 1.36 (0.69, 2.67) 1.49 (0.69, 3.21) p = 0.20 |
0–22 >22–37 >37–69 >69–214 Trend: |
34/200.37 (0.17) 25/167.84 (0.15) 32/163.86 (0.20) 32/127.14 (0.25) |
1.00 (reference) 0.98 (0.52, 1.84) 0.92 (0.49, 1.72) 0.97 (0.42, 2.23) p = 0.89 |
1.00 (reference) 1.20 (0.66, 2.17) 1.18 (0.61, 2.27) 1.75 (0.75, 4.10) p = 0.26 |
Summer UVR-load in 3 years before study entryb (kJ/m2) | Winter UVR-load in 3 years before study entry (kJ/m2) | ||||||
0–80 >80–90 >90–152 >152–290 Trend: |
35/214.68 (0.16) 92/209.96 (0.44) 42/201.44 (0.21) 35/252.72 (0.14) |
1.00 (reference) 2.28 (1.31, 3.97) 1.24 (0.75, 2.03) 0.87 (0.44, 1.72) p = 0.14 |
1.00 (reference) 2.43 (1.50, 3.95) 1.31 (0.83, 2.08) 1.26 (0.65, 2.45) p = 0.77 |
0–17 >17–27 >27–41 >41–125 Trend: |
54/247.55 (0.22) 49/210.32 (0.23) 52/202.49 (0.26) 49/218.43 (0.22) |
1.00 (reference) 0.70 (0.40, 1.23) 0.80 (0.36, 1.77) 0.62 (0.25, 1.51) p = 0.36 |
1.00 (reference) 0.94 (0.61, 1.45) 1.15 (0.53, 2.46) 1.05 (0.43, 2.58) p = 0.89 |
UVR-load in summer in year of FDE (kJ/m2) | UVR-load in winter in year of FDE (kJ/m2) | ||||||
7–28 >28–47 >47–69 >69–96 Trend: |
55/198.76 (0.28) 51/214.40 (0.24) 66/249.43 (0.27) 28/189.82 (0.15) |
1.00 (reference) 0.89 (0.52, 1.54) 1.08 (0.61, 1.90) 0.60 (0.34, 1.07) p = 0.23 |
1.00 (reference) 1.02 (0.68, 1.53) 1.43 (0.86, 2.38) 1.05 (0.58, 1.91) p = 0.42 |
1–5 >5–9 >9–14 >14–53 Trend: |
72/232.12 (0.31) 32/220.90 (0.15) 39/210.57 (0.19) 57/188.82 (0.30) |
1.00 (reference) 0.48 (0.29, 0.81) 0.54 (0.27, 1.09) 0.69 (0.38, 1.25) p = 0.25 |
1.00 (reference) 0.65 (0.42, 1.02) 0.83 (0.43, 1.59) 1.17 (0.66, 2.09) p = 0.62 |
UVR-load in summer 2 years before FDE (kJ/m2) | UVR-load in winter 2 years before FDE (kJ/m2) | ||||||
7–28 >28–50 >50–69 >69–96 Trend: |
55/193.88 (0.28) 64/227.79 (0.28) 52/241.93 (0.22) 33/206.86 (0.16) |
1.00 (reference) 1.00 (0.56, 1.77) 0.88 (0.52, 1.49) 0.63 (0.35, 1.15) p = 0.12 |
1.00 (reference) 1.10 (0.68, 1.78) 1.14 (0.73, 1.77) 0.95 (0.55, 1.63) p = 0.96 |
1–5 >5–9 >9–14 >14–53 Trend: |
64/251.92 (0.25) 39/212.00 (0.18) 39/21.68 (0.18) 62/184.86 (0.34) |
1.00 (reference) 0.73 (0.41, 1.32) 0.69 (0.35, 1.34) 1.04 (0.58, 1.85) p = 0.90 |
1.00 (reference) 0.92 (0.58, 1.45) 0.96 (0.52, 1.77) 1.43 (0.83, 2.46) p = 0.26 |
Results in bold denote statistical significance (p < 0.05). Results in italics are for tests of trend.
aAdjusted models for relapse include adjustment for age, sex, and immunomodulatory therapy, and stratified by study site.
bTwo persons did not have data on their summer UVR-load in the 3 years preceding study entry.