Table 1.
t = 0.2 | t = 0.5 | t = 0.8 | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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sample size: 200 | |||||||||||||
Orig | B | −40 | 47 | 17 | −27 | 28 | 9 | −17 | 13 | −3 | |||
SD | 466 | 631 | 611 | 343 | 470 | 480 | 308 | 440 | 435 | ||||
SE | 485 | 659 | 657 | 347 | 491 | 493 | 314 | 448 | 451 | ||||
CI | 93.4 | 95.1 | 95.9 | 94.3 | 94.7 | 94.8 | 94.3 | 94.6 | 95.2 | ||||
IO | MAE | 0.99 | B | −30 | 49 | 19 | −22 | 31 | 11 | −11 | 15 | 1 | |
RMISE | 1.00 | SD | 466 | 630 | 609 | 341 | 467 | 479 | 307 | 438 | 436 | ||
SW | MAE | 1.02 | B | −181 | 26 | −2 | −120 | −5 | −14 | −62 | −41 | −63 | |
RMISE | 1.05 | SD | 516 | 668 | 653 | 353 | 480 | 482 | 314 | 337 | 439 | ||
|
MAE | 0.87 | B | −45 | 60 | 26 | −26 | 32 | 12 | 7 | −1 | −12 | |
RMISE | 0.96 | SD | 440 | 598 | 578 | 339 | 464 | 478 | 299 | 422 | 421 | ||
BRK | 0.11 | CI | 94.9 | 95.8 | 97.3 | 94.5 | 94.8 | 94.7 | 95.0 | 94.9 | 95.2 | ||
|
MAE | 0.86 | B | −48 | 60 | 28 | −26 | 32 | 12 | 13 | −4 | −20 | |
RMISE | 0.95 | SD | 438 | 593 | 573 | 339 | 464 | 478 | 298 | 422 | 416 | ||
BRK | 0.10 | CI | 95.1 | 95.7 | 97.1 | 94.4 | 94.8 | 94.7 | 95.6 | 94.9 | 95.9 | ||
|
MAE | 0.87 | B | −46 | 61 | 26 | −37 | 41 | 31 | −14 | 15 | 0 | |
τ ≏ 0.8 | RMISE | 0.96 | SD | 440 | 598 | 578 | 333 | 457 | 465 | 306 | 437 | 435 | |
BRK | 0.11 | CI | 94.9 | 95.8 | 97.3 | 95.3 | 94.7 | 95.2 | 94.8 | 95.0 | 94.8 | ||
|
|||||||||||||
sample size: 400 | |||||||||||||
Orig | B | 2 | 8 | −5 | −4 | 8 | 7 | −1 | −1 | −2 | |||
SD | 330 | 429 | 446 | 241 | 338 | 320 | 215 | 314 | 304 | ||||
SE | 338 | 456 | 457 | 242 | 345 | 343 | 219 | 314 | 313 | ||||
CI | 94.2 | 95.0 | 94.2 | 92.9 | 94.5 | 96.1 | 94.2 | 93.9 | 94.1 | ||||
IO | MAE | 0.99 | B | 8 | 8 | −5 | −1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | −1 | |
RMISE | 1.00 | SD | 330 | 429 | 445 | 240 | 338 | 320 | 214 | 314 | 302 | ||
SW | MAE | 0.99 | B | −68 | −7 | −9 | −51 | −9 | −3 | −25 | −30 | −43 | |
RMISE | 1.03 | SD | 346 | 437 | 458 | 246 | 344 | 320 | 217 | 314 | 310 | ||
|
MAE | 0.90 | B | 1 | 12 | 0 | −3 | 9 | 7 | 11 | −6 | −12 | |
RMISE | 0.98 | SD | 324 | 420 | 434 | 240 | 339 | 320 | 210 | 307 | 299 | ||
BRK | 0.10 | CI | 94.8 | 95.1 | 94.4 | 92.8 | 94.5 | 96.0 | 94.3 | 94.7 | 95.0 | ||
|
MAE | 0.90 | B | 1 | 14 | −1 | −3 | 9 | 7 | 12 | −7 | −13 | |
RMISE | 0.97 | SD | 322 | 419 | 432 | 240 | 339 | 319 | 210 | 307 | 298 | ||
BRK | 0.10 | CI | 94.9 | 95.2 | 94.5 | 92.8 | 94.5 | 96.1 | 94.3 | 95.1 | 95.2 | ||
|
MAE | 0.91 | B | 1 | 12 | 0 | −11 | 19 | 18 | 0 | 1 | −1 | |
τ ≏ 0.8 | RMISE | 0.97 | SD | 324 | 420 | 434 | 239 | 335 | 316 | 213 | 313 | 301 | |
BRK | 0.10 | CI | 94.8 | 95.1 | 94.4 | 93.3 | 94.7 | 96.0 | 94.2 | 93.6 | 94.6 |
Orig: the original estimator; IO: the interpolated original estimator; SW: the stairwise monotonicity-respecting estimator; : the proposed adaptive interpolation estimator with and, unless otherwise specified, τ ≏ 0.5.
MAE: maximum absolute error over [0.1, 0.9]; RMISE: root mean integrated squared error over [0.1, 0.9]; BRK: number of knots or breakpoints. All are average measures, reported as relative to the original estimator. B: Empirical bias (×1000); SD: Empirical standard deviation (×1000); SE: Average standard error (×1000); CI: Empirical coverage (%) of 95% Wald confidence interval.
Three columns under each t value correspond to the estimated intercept and two slopes.