Table 2.
Discounted Costs, Health Outcomes, and Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratios by Treatment Strategy and by Patient Fibrosis Level*
Patient starting at F0 | Patient starting at F1 | Patient starting at F2 | |||||||
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Tx at F3 | Tx at F2 | Tx at F1 | Tx at F0 | Tx at F3 | Tx at F2 | Tx at F1 | Tx at F3 | Tx at F2 | |
Nontreatment costs ($) | 10,100 | 9300 | 8700 | 7900 | 11,200 | 9100 | 8000 | 12,800 | 8800 |
Treatment costs ($) | 23,400 | 36,500 | 62,100 | 105,300 | 48,000 | 68,400 | 105,200 | 78,200 | 104,700 |
Total costs ($) | 33,600 | 45,800 | 70,800 | 113,100 | 59,200 | 77,400 | 113,200 | 91,000 | 113,600 |
Liver disease deaths | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
QALYs | 15.96 | 16.09 | 16.19 | 16.37 | 15.84 | 16.14 | 16.35 | 15.61 | 16.22 |
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Treatment Policies Compared | Tx at F2 Versus Tx at F3 | † | Tx at F0 Versus Tx at F2 | Tx at F2 Versus Tx at F3 | Tx at F1 Versus Tx at F2 | Tx at F2 Versus Tx at F3 | |||
| |||||||||
ICER ($/averted death) | 2,995,000 | 61,326,500 | 1,864,700 | 16,957,300 | 1,211,300 | ||||
ICER ($/QALY) | 97,900 | 242,900 | 59,500 | 174,100 | 37,300 |
These results were generated using base case parameter values. All costs are presented as 2012 US dollars using a 3% annual discount rate on future costs and benefits. To simplify presentation costs and ICERs, numbers are rounded to the nearest hundred. The results focus on immediate versus delayed treatment (i.e., “treat now” versus “treat later”) for a patient starting at a given level of fibrosis. If “treat later” is not an option, the cost per QALY gained of immediate treatment (versus “never treat”) is $108,800 at F0, $47,000 at F1, and $21,400 at F2 (see Table F1 in the Supporting Information).
This treatment scenario was weakly dominated by the subsequent, more expansive treatment scenario (i.e., in these cases, treatment at F0 dominates treatment at F1 on a cost per QALY basis), and the ICER for treatment at F0 compares treatment at F0 to treatment at F2.
Abbreviation: Tx, treatment.