Fig 5.

Observed annually and globally averaged sea-level anomalies from Jevrejeva et al. [78] (green circles), the polynomial model best fit to the observations (black line) and model hindcast scenarios (grey lines) that sample the unresolved variability (left panel). Bootstrap projections to 2100 highlighting potential future acceleration due to melting land ice (right panel). Projections are fitted to an idealized distribution of 2100 sea-level rise based on Pfeffer et al. [24] with an additional expansion to account for uncertainty in thermosteric sea-level rise [5,83].