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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: Alzheimers Dement. 2017 Dec 7;14(2):121–129. doi: 10.1016/j.jalz.2017.10.009

Table 1.

Prevalence (in millions) of pre-clinical and clinical disease states of Alzheimer’s disease in the United States in 2017 and 2060 based on multistate model [ranges generated by high and low series of transition rates]

CALENDAR YEAR
DISEASE STATE 2017 2060
Amyloidosis only [state 2] 22.14 [18.70–26.70] 31.90 [28.04–36.75]
Neurodegeneration only [state 3] 8.33 [5.68–9.16]- 13.60 [8.47–16.11]-
Amyloidosis & Neurodegeneration [state 4] 16.23[11.85–21.93] 30.18 [23.49–37.78]
MCI due to Alzheimer’s disease [states 5+6] 2.43 [1.41–4.02] 5.70 [3.61–8.34]
  With neurodegeneration 0.66 [0.28–1.51] 1.23 [0.56–2.49]
  With Amyloidosis and neurodegeneration 1.77[1.13–2.51] 4.47 [3.05–5.85]
Clinical Alzheimer’s Disease [states 7+8] 3.65[1.70–7.62] 9.30 [4.58–17.82]
  Early Stage 2.11 [1.03–4.12] 5.29 [2.73–9.40]
  Late Stage 1.54 [0.67–3.50] 4.01 [1.85–8.42]