Table 2.

Single Location SEIR - MCMC Parameter Estimation Performance

		95% Cr.I.		Estimate
Intercept	Parameter	Coverage	Width	Bias	Bias%
−1	Intercept	0.98	0.195	−0.047	−4.733
	Intervention	1	0.014	0.001	2.278
	E to I Transition	1	0.044	0.003	1.259
	I to R Transition	1	0.021	0.001	0.918
−1.2	Intercept	0.92	0.288	−0.056	−4.628
	Intervention	0.98	0.019	0.001	2.571
	E to I Transition	1	0.029	0.000	0.184
	I to R Transition	1	0.018	0.000	0.118
−1.4	Intercept	1	0.470	−0.034	−2.416
	Intervention	0.98	0.036	−0.002	−3.019
	E to I Transition	1	0.025	0.000	−0.165
	I to R Transition	1	0.018	0.000	−0.127