Table 2.
Results for final probit regression model on agriculture and malaria risk
Estimate | 2·5% UI | 97·5% UI | Posterior probability (estimate >0) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Individual-level variables | |||||
Intercept | −0·34 | −0·51 | −0·16 | 0·00 | |
Age (years) | 0·18 | 0·14 | 0·23 | 1·00 | |
Girls | 0·03 | −0·06 | 0·11 | 0·73 | |
Bednet use (reference is no net) | |||||
Deltamethrin or alphacypermethrin | −0·15 | −0·25 | −0·05 | 0·00 | |
Permethrin | 0·02 | −0·17 | 0·21 | 0·58 | |
Other | 0·19 | −0·18 | 0·56 | 0·84 | |
Community-level variables | |||||
Household wall material (reference is natural) | |||||
Rudimentary | 0·11 | −0·04 | 0·27 | 0·92 | |
Finished | 0·05 | −0·18 | 0·29 | 0·66 | |
Other | −0·26 | −0·77 | 0·26 | 0·17 | |
Finished household roof material | −0·12 | −0·29 | 0·06 | 0·09 | |
Community bednet use (Z score) | −0·21 | −0·31 | −0·12 | 0·00 | |
Altitude (>1000 m) | −0·30 | −0·70 | 0·11 | 0·07 | |
Precipitation (Z score) | −0·07 | −0·19 | 0·04 | 0·11 | |
Temperature (Z score) | 0·17 | 0·03 | 0·32 | 0·99 | |
Agricultural land cover (Z score) | 0·07 | −0·04 | 0·17 | 0·89 |
Posterior probability (estimate >0) values near or at 0 indicate that the effect is protective, whereas values at or near 1 indicate that the covariate is a risk factor. Values near 0·5 indicate no effect. UI=uncertainty interval.