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. 2018 Feb 8;11(1):1423861. doi: 10.1080/16549716.2018.1423861

Table 2.

Reference and 75% benchmark total fertility rate and population growth rate: 2014, 2030, and 2050.

  Baseline scenario
75% benchmark scenario
  Total fertility rate
Growth rate
Total fertility rate
Growth rate
Country 2014 2030 2050 2014 2030 2050 2014 2030 2050 2014 2030 2050
South Sudan 5.43 4.67 3.49 4.12 2.81 2.14 5.43 3.50 2.23 4.12 2.14 1.30
DRC 4.80 3.77 2.67 2.50 2.23 1.55 4.80 2.43 2.01 2.50 1.36 0.97
Nigeria 5.25 5.15 5.01 2.52 2.81 2.95 5.25 4.07 2.70 2.52 2.18 1.52
Mali 6.16 4.41 2.61 2.66 2.24 1.38 6.16 3.42 2.10 2.66 1.63 0.94
Mozambique 5.27 4.44 3.28 2.44 2.54 2.14 5.27 3.58 2.27 2.44 2.00 1.45
Senegal 4.52 3.43 2.42 2.47 2.00 1.32 4.52 2.64 2.04 2.47 1.48 0.98
Liberia 4.81 3.29 2.22 2.52 1.92 1.20 4.81 2.54 2.02 2.52 1.43 0.97
Ghana 4.09 3.09 2.30 2.19 1.72 1.22 4.09 2.35 2.01 2.19 1.23 0.92
Afghanistan 5.43 3.99 2.58 2.29 2.02 1.33 5.43 3.24 2.13 2.29 1.59 0.97
Pakistan 2.86 2.33 1.93 1.49 1.31 0.69 2.86 1.90 1.71 1.49 1.01 0.46
Yemen 4.09 2.86 1.97 2.72 1.86 1.02 4.09 2.00 1.71 2.72 1.25 0.72
Haiti 2.79 2.25 1.86 1.08 0.96 0.39 2.79 1.73 1.70 1.08 0.58 0.08
Philippines 3.06 2.49 2.13 1.81 1.31 0.79 3.06 2.03 2.00 1.81 1.00 0.55

The ordering of countries is by estimated MCPR in 2014 (Table 1). Total fertility rates for South Sudan, Afghanistan, and Haiti – given data limitations – were estimated based on Equation (5). Total fertility rates for other countries were based on Equation (4).