Table 2.
Baseline scenario |
75% benchmark scenario |
|||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total fertility rate |
Growth rate |
Total fertility rate |
Growth rate |
|||||||||
Country | 2014 | 2030 | 2050 | 2014 | 2030 | 2050 | 2014 | 2030 | 2050 | 2014 | 2030 | 2050 |
South Sudan | 5.43 | 4.67 | 3.49 | 4.12 | 2.81 | 2.14 | 5.43 | 3.50 | 2.23 | 4.12 | 2.14 | 1.30 |
DRC | 4.80 | 3.77 | 2.67 | 2.50 | 2.23 | 1.55 | 4.80 | 2.43 | 2.01 | 2.50 | 1.36 | 0.97 |
Nigeria | 5.25 | 5.15 | 5.01 | 2.52 | 2.81 | 2.95 | 5.25 | 4.07 | 2.70 | 2.52 | 2.18 | 1.52 |
Mali | 6.16 | 4.41 | 2.61 | 2.66 | 2.24 | 1.38 | 6.16 | 3.42 | 2.10 | 2.66 | 1.63 | 0.94 |
Mozambique | 5.27 | 4.44 | 3.28 | 2.44 | 2.54 | 2.14 | 5.27 | 3.58 | 2.27 | 2.44 | 2.00 | 1.45 |
Senegal | 4.52 | 3.43 | 2.42 | 2.47 | 2.00 | 1.32 | 4.52 | 2.64 | 2.04 | 2.47 | 1.48 | 0.98 |
Liberia | 4.81 | 3.29 | 2.22 | 2.52 | 1.92 | 1.20 | 4.81 | 2.54 | 2.02 | 2.52 | 1.43 | 0.97 |
Ghana | 4.09 | 3.09 | 2.30 | 2.19 | 1.72 | 1.22 | 4.09 | 2.35 | 2.01 | 2.19 | 1.23 | 0.92 |
Afghanistan | 5.43 | 3.99 | 2.58 | 2.29 | 2.02 | 1.33 | 5.43 | 3.24 | 2.13 | 2.29 | 1.59 | 0.97 |
Pakistan | 2.86 | 2.33 | 1.93 | 1.49 | 1.31 | 0.69 | 2.86 | 1.90 | 1.71 | 1.49 | 1.01 | 0.46 |
Yemen | 4.09 | 2.86 | 1.97 | 2.72 | 1.86 | 1.02 | 4.09 | 2.00 | 1.71 | 2.72 | 1.25 | 0.72 |
Haiti | 2.79 | 2.25 | 1.86 | 1.08 | 0.96 | 0.39 | 2.79 | 1.73 | 1.70 | 1.08 | 0.58 | 0.08 |
Philippines | 3.06 | 2.49 | 2.13 | 1.81 | 1.31 | 0.79 | 3.06 | 2.03 | 2.00 | 1.81 | 1.00 | 0.55 |
The ordering of countries is by estimated MCPR in 2014 (Table 1). Total fertility rates for South Sudan, Afghanistan, and Haiti – given data limitations – were estimated based on Equation (5). Total fertility rates for other countries were based on Equation (4).