Table 2.
Predictor | Definition | Primary outcome: Hospital mortality | Secondary outcome: mortality and/or ICU LOS ≥ 3 days | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Area under the curve | Area under the curve | ||||
Crude | Adjusted | Crude | Adjusted | ||
SIRS | SIRS N criteria | 0.630 (0.583–0.676) | 0.727 (0.682–0.772) | 0.603 (0.580–0.626) | 0.676 (0.654–0.699) |
SIRS ≥ 2 criteria (paediatric) | 0.559 (0.528–0.591) | 0.710 (0.664–0.756) | 0.551 (0.533–0.568) | 0.664 (0.641–0.687) | |
SIRS ≥ 2 criteria (any) | 0.563 (0.532–0.594) | 0.708 (0.664–0.751) | 0.565 (0.548–0.582) | 0.673 (0.652–0.694) | |
Severe sepsis | 2005 consensus | 0.586 (0.550–0.622) | 0.711 (0.667–0.755) | 0.592 (0.574–0.611) | 0.677 (0.656–0.698) |
SOFA | SOFA score | 0.782 (0.738–0.827) | 0.829 (0.791–0.868) | 0.731 (0.710–0.752) | 0.751 (0.730–0.772) |
SOFA ≥ 2 criteria | 0.595 (0.571–0.620) | 0.743 (0.701–0.785) | 0.615 (0.599–0.631) | 0.702 (0.689–0.723) | |
PELOD | PELOD score | 0.774 (0.731–0.818) | 0.816 (0.777–0.854) | 0.750 (0.730–0.770) | 0.771 (0.752–0.790) |
PELOD ≥ 2 criteria | 0.601 (0.578–0.625) | 0.726 (0.685–0.767) | 0.613 (0.597–0.629) | 0.694 (0.673–0.715) | |
PELOD ≥ 8 criteria | 0.719 (0.679–0.759) | 0.812 (0.774–0.851) | 0.633 (0.618–0.649) | 0.744 (0.724–0.764) | |
qSOFA | qSOFA score | 0.638 (0.588–0.687) | 0.739 (0.695–0.784) | 0.597 (0.575–0.620) | 0.682 (0.659–0.704) |
qSOFA ≥ 2 criteria | 0.591 (0.552–0.631) | 0.722 (0.677–0.767) | 0.581 (0.560–0.601) | 0.679 (0.656–0.701) |
Predictor | Definition | Primary outcome: hospital mortality | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | Negative predictive value (%) | Positive predictive value (%) | ||
SIRS | SIRS ≥ 2 criteria (pediatric) | 84.9 | 27.0 | 96.5 | 7.0 |
SIRS | SIRS ≥ 2 criteria (any) | 83.4 | 29.1 | 96.6 | 6.8 |
Severe sepsis | 2005 consensus | 74.5 | 42.7 | 96.5 | 7.4 |
SOFA | SOFA ≥ 2 criteria | 92.1 | 26.9 | 98.1 | 7.6 |
qSOFA | qSOFA ≥ 2 criteria | 70.3 | 48.0 | 96.1 | 8.1 |
PELOD | PELOD ≥ 2 criteria | 91.9 | 28.3 | 98.3 | 7.3 |
PELOD | PELOD ≥ 8 criteria | 88.1 | 55.7 | 97.0 | 22.2 |