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. 2017 Dec 19;44(2):179–188. doi: 10.1007/s00134-017-5021-8

Table 2.

Crude and adjusted AUROCs for discrimination characteristics of SIRS, SOFA, PELOD-2 and qSOFA on ICU admission in patients < 18 years with suspected or confirmed infection

Predictor Definition Primary outcome: Hospital mortality Secondary outcome: mortality and/or ICU LOS ≥ 3 days
Area under the curve Area under the curve
Crude Adjusted Crude Adjusted
SIRS SIRS N criteria 0.630 (0.583–0.676) 0.727 (0.682–0.772) 0.603 (0.580–0.626) 0.676 (0.654–0.699)
SIRS ≥ 2 criteria (paediatric) 0.559 (0.528–0.591) 0.710 (0.664–0.756) 0.551 (0.533–0.568) 0.664 (0.641–0.687)
SIRS ≥ 2 criteria (any) 0.563 (0.532–0.594) 0.708 (0.664–0.751) 0.565 (0.548–0.582) 0.673 (0.652–0.694)
Severe sepsis 2005 consensus 0.586 (0.550–0.622) 0.711 (0.667–0.755) 0.592 (0.574–0.611) 0.677 (0.656–0.698)
SOFA SOFA score 0.782 (0.738–0.827) 0.829 (0.791–0.868) 0.731 (0.710–0.752) 0.751 (0.730–0.772)
SOFA ≥ 2 criteria 0.595 (0.571–0.620) 0.743 (0.701–0.785) 0.615 (0.599–0.631) 0.702 (0.689–0.723)
PELOD PELOD score 0.774 (0.731–0.818) 0.816 (0.777–0.854) 0.750 (0.730–0.770) 0.771 (0.752–0.790)
PELOD ≥ 2 criteria 0.601 (0.578–0.625) 0.726 (0.685–0.767) 0.613 (0.597–0.629) 0.694 (0.673–0.715)
PELOD ≥ 8 criteria 0.719 (0.679–0.759) 0.812 (0.774–0.851) 0.633 (0.618–0.649) 0.744 (0.724–0.764)
qSOFA qSOFA score 0.638 (0.588–0.687) 0.739 (0.695–0.784) 0.597 (0.575–0.620) 0.682 (0.659–0.704)
qSOFA ≥ 2 criteria 0.591 (0.552–0.631) 0.722 (0.677–0.767) 0.581 (0.560–0.601) 0.679 (0.656–0.701)
Predictor Definition Primary outcome: hospital mortality
Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) Negative predictive value (%) Positive predictive value (%)
SIRS SIRS ≥ 2 criteria (pediatric) 84.9 27.0 96.5 7.0
SIRS SIRS ≥ 2 criteria (any) 83.4 29.1 96.6 6.8
Severe sepsis 2005 consensus 74.5 42.7 96.5 7.4
SOFA SOFA ≥ 2 criteria 92.1 26.9 98.1 7.6
qSOFA qSOFA ≥ 2 criteria 70.3 48.0 96.1 8.1
PELOD PELOD ≥ 2 criteria 91.9 28.3 98.3 7.3
PELOD PELOD ≥ 8 criteria 88.1 55.7 97.0 22.2