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. 2017 Sep 25;177(11):1577–1585. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2017.4888

Table 2. Logistic Regression Results of Low-Value Imaging Predictors for Primary Care Physicians.

Covariates Adjusted Odds Ratio (95% CI)a
Back Pain Visits Headache Visits Headache Visits Seen by Clinicians Who Also Saw ≥4 Back Pain Visits
Female 1.02 (1.00-1.03) 0.81 (0.80-0.83) 0.80 (0.78-0.82)
Age distribution, y
18-25 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
26-35 0.88 (0.85-0.91) 1.03 (1.00-1.07) 1.03(0.99-1.08)
36-45 0.85 (0.82-0.88) 1.06 (1.03-1.10) 1.07 (1.02-1.11)
46-55 0.85 (0.82-0.87) 1.07 (1.04-1.11) 1.11 (1.06-1.16)
56-64 0.90 (0.87-0.93) 1.19 (1.15-1.24) 1.27 (1.21-1.32)
Low neighborhood education levelb 1.01 (0.98-1.03) 0.98 (0.85-1.01) 0.98 (0.95-1.02)
High neighborhood poverty levelc 1.00 (0.98-1.02) 0.96 (0.93-0.98) 0.94 (0.91-0.96)
Quarter, continuous 0.99 (0.99-0.99) 0.99 (0.99-0.99) 0.99 (0.99-0.99)
Race/ethnicity
White 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Black 0.96 (0.94-0.99) 0.91 (0.89-0.94) 0.87 (0.83-0.90)
Hispanic 1.12 (1.09-1.15) 0.93 (0.90-0.96) 0.87 (0.84-0.91)
Other 0.99 (0.96-1.02) 0.87 (0.84-0.90) 0.85 (0.81-0.89)
US Region
South 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Northeast 0.78 (0.76-0.81) 0.92 (0.89-0.96) 0.91 (0.86-0.95)
West 0.81 (0.80-0.83) 0.80 (0.78-0.83) 0.80 (0.77-0.82)
Midwest 0.91 (0.89-0.93) 1.14 (1.11-1.17) 1.18 (1.15-1.21)
Clinician's prior patient received imaging 2.08 (2.04-2.12) 2.20 (2.13-2.25) 1.91 (1.84-1.97)
High rate of low-value back imaging NA NA 1.78 (1.69-1.86)
Area under receiver operator curve 0.62 0.59 0.59

Abbreviation: NA, not applicable.

a

Study sample 1 consisted of visits for low back pain. Study sample 2 consisted of visits for headache. Study sample 3 included physicians who saw patients with both back pain and headache.

b

Low neighborhood education was defined as census block groups in which more than 25% of residents had education levels below high school.

c

High neighborhood poverty was defined as census block groups in which more than 10% of residents had incomes below the poverty level.