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. 2017 Dec 26;318(24):2457–2465. doi: 10.1001/jama.2017.19546

Table 4. Hazard Ratios for Incident Diabetes in Black Compared With White Participants and Percent Reduction in Parameter Estimates According to Individual Risk Factor Groupsa.

Individual Risk Factor Groups Women Men
Race HR (95% CI) Percent Reduction in β, %b Race HR (95% CI) Percent Reduction in β, %b
Base model: Age and field center 2.86 (2.19-3.72) [Reference] 1.67 (1.28-2.17) [Reference]
Updated Risk Factor Information Adjustment
Base + biologicalc 0.88 (0.64-1.21) 112 1.08 (0.77-1.51) 86
Base + neighborhoodd 2.70 (2.00-3.65) 5 1.54 (1.12-2.12) 15
Base + psychosociale 2.79 (2.14-3.64) 2 1.62 (1.24-2.12) 5
Base + socioeconomicf 2.20 (1.63-2.97) 25 1.34 (0.99-1.82) 42
Base + behavioralg 2.29 (1.73-3.02) 21 1.56 (1.18-2.05) 14
Risk Factors Adjusted for All Groups but Excluding 1 Group
Excluding biologicalc 1.98 (1.42-2.77) 35 1.31 (0.93-1.84) 47
Excluding neighborhoodd 0.79 (0.56-1.12) 122 0.97 (0.67-1.41) 106
Excluding psychosociale 0.80 (0.55-1.15) 122 0.93 (0.62-1.39) 115
Excluding socioeconomicf 0.86 (0.60-1.22) 115 0.98 (0.67-1.45) 103
Excluding behavioralg 0.80 (0.56-1.16) 121 0.90 (0.60-1.34) 121
Baseline Risk Factor Adjustment
Base + biologicalc 1.56 (1.14-2.14) 58 1.48 (1.07-2.05) 23
Base + neighborhoodd 2.24 (1.63-3.08) 23 1.68 (1.22-2.31) −1
Base + psychosociale 2.77 (2.12-3.61) 3 1.64 (1.25-2.14) 3
Base + socioeconomicf 2.09 (1.56-2.80) 30 1.36 (1.01-1.84) 39
Base + behavioralg 2.41 (1.81-3.20) 16 1.56 (1.19-2.05) 13
Risk Factors Adjusted for All Groups but Excluding 1 Group
Excluding biologicalc 1.67 (1.18-2.36) 51 1.38 (0.97-1.95) 37
Excluding neighborhoodd 1.34 (0.95-1.90) 72 1.30 (0.91-1.86) 49
Excluding psychosociale 1.22 (0.84-1.78) 81 1.48 (1.00-2.18) 24
Excluding socioeconomicf 1.34 (0.93-1.92) 72 1.50 (1.03-2.18) 21
Excluding behavioralg 1.20 (0.83-1.74) 82 1.59 (1.08-2.34) 9

Abbreviation: HR, hazard ratio.

a

Analyses were implemented when including updated risk factor information for model adjustment and when adjusting for baseline measurement of risk factors.

b

Percent reduction in β estimate ([β0–βn])÷[β0]×100). β0 indicates an age and field center–adjusted reference model. β0, as an exponent with the base e, equals the HR estimate for an age- and field center–adjusted model. The percent reduction in β estimate from β0 to βn is the percent reduction in risk for diabetes on the log-scale comparing black individuals to white individuals that is associated with adjustment for the factors in the βn model.

c

Biological factors: fasting glucose, body mass index, waist circumference, parental history of diabetes, triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, forced vital capacity, systolic blood pressure, and blood pressure–lowering medication use.

d

Neighborhood factors: G statistic for racial segregation and tract-level percentage of population living in poverty.

e

Psychosocial factor: Center for Epidemiologic Studies–Depression score.

f

Socioeconomic factors: education, current employment status, paying for basic essentials, marital status, and mother’s and father’s educational attainment.

g

Behavioral factors: regular alcohol consumption, smoking status, diet score from the American Heart Association’s Life’s Simple 7, and regular physical activity.