Appendix Table 8.
Outcomes per 1,000 transplant cystic fibrosis individuals free of diagnosed cancer at age 30 years in 2017 (with organ transplant at age 30, 3% discounted) | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Screening tests | Surveillance COLs |
Total COLs |
Compli -cations |
CRC Casesc |
CRC deatha,c |
LY with CRC |
LYGb | Total costs (*$1,000) |
Net costs (*$1,000) |
Reductionsb (%) | ICER (*$1,000) |
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FIT | COLs | CRC incidencec |
CRC mortalityc |
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Colonoscopy strategies (5-fold increased rates of cardiovascular complications) | ||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||
No screening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 52 | 22 | 115 | 0 | 2065435 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
COL 45–55 y, 10 y | 0 | 199 | 342 | 553 | 4 | 39 | 10 | 139 | 28 | 2452010 | 386576 | 25 | 57 | 2 |
COL 45–55 y, 5 y | 0 | 200 | 343 | 554 | 4 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2452589 | 387154 | 25 | 57 | 8 |
COL 40–55 y, 5 y | 0 | 324 | 591 | 923 | 6 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2618834 | 553399 | 36 | 70 | 12 |
COL 35–55 y, 5 y | 0 | 607 | 838 | 1451 | 7 | 31 | 5 | 122 | 51 | 3049189 | 983754 | 41 | 77 | 46 |
COL 35–55 y, 3 y | 0 | 642 | 1265 | 1912 | 8 | 26 | 4 | 110 | 56 | 3373257 | 1307822 | 49 | 82 | 75 |
COL 30–55 y, 3 y | 0 | 1511 | 1825 | 3339 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 99 | 63 | 4652949 | 2587514 | 53 | 86 | 177 |
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Colonoscopy strategies (10-fold increased rates of cardiovascular complications) | ||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||
No screening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 52 | 22 | 115 | 0 | 2066410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
COL 45–55 y, 10 y | 0 | 199 | 341 | 553 | 7 | 39 | 10 | 139 | 28 | 2469059 | 402648 | 25 | 57 | 3 |
COL 45–55 y, 5 y | 0 | 200 | 342 | 554 | 7 | 39 | 10 | 139 | 28 | 2469686 | 403276 | 25 | 57 | 10 |
COL 40–55 y, 5 y | 0 | 324 | 591 | 923 | 9 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2641176 | 574766 | 36 | 70 | 14 |
COL 35–55 y, 5 y | 0 | 607 | 838 | 1451 | 11 | 31 | 5 | 122 | 51 | 3075548 | 1009138 | 41 | 76 | 49 |
COL 35–55 y, 3 y | 0 | 642 | 1265 | 1911 | 13 | 26 | 4 | 110 | 55 | 3406590 | 1340180 | 49 | 81 | 85 |
COL 30–55 y, 3 y | 0 | 1511 | 1825 | 3339 | 16 | 25 | 3 | 99 | 62 | 4691373 | 2624962 | 53 | 85 | 194 |
COL indicates colonoscopy; CRC, colorectal cancer; FIT = Fecal Immunochemical Test; LY, Life-years; LYG, LY gained compared with no screening; ICER, Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (Costs/LYs gained).
Including deaths from complications of screening;
compared with no screening;
CRC cases and CRC death were not discounted.
Bold rows indicate optimal screening strategies.