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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: Gastroenterology. 2017 Nov 2;154(3):556–567.e18. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2017.10.036

Appendix Table 8.

Efficient colonoscopy screening strategies among transplant Cystic Fibrosis patients (assuming 5-fold and 10-fold increased rates of cardiovascular complications).

Outcomes per 1,000 transplant cystic fibrosis individuals free of diagnosed cancer at age 30 years in 2017 (with organ transplant at age 30, 3% discounted)

Screening tests Surveillance
COLs
Total
COLs
Compli
-cations
CRC
Casesc
CRC
deatha,c
LY
with
CRC
LYGb Total costs
(*$1,000)
Net costs
(*$1,000)
Reductionsb (%) ICER
(*$1,000)

FIT COLs CRC
incidencec
CRC
mortalityc

Colonoscopy strategies (5-fold increased rates of cardiovascular complications)

No screening 0 0 0 30 0 52 22 115 0 2065435 0 0 0 -
COL 45–55 y, 10 y 0 199 342 553 4 39 10 139 28 2452010 386576 25 57 2
COL 45–55 y, 5 y 0 200 343 554 4 39 9 139 28 2452589 387154 25 57 8
COL 40–55 y, 5 y 0 324 591 923 6 34 7 129 42 2618834 553399 36 70 12
COL 35–55 y, 5 y 0 607 838 1451 7 31 5 122 51 3049189 983754 41 77 46
COL 35–55 y, 3 y 0 642 1265 1912 8 26 4 110 56 3373257 1307822 49 82 75
COL 30–55 y, 3 y 0 1511 1825 3339 10 25 3 99 63 4652949 2587514 53 86 177

Colonoscopy strategies (10-fold increased rates of cardiovascular complications)

No screening 0 0 0 30 0 52 22 115 0 2066410 0 0 0 -
COL 45–55 y, 10 y 0 199 341 553 7 39 10 139 28 2469059 402648 25 57 3
COL 45–55 y, 5 y 0 200 342 554 7 39 10 139 28 2469686 403276 25 57 10
COL 40–55 y, 5 y 0 324 591 923 9 34 7 129 42 2641176 574766 36 70 14
COL 35–55 y, 5 y 0 607 838 1451 11 31 5 122 51 3075548 1009138 41 76 49
COL 35–55 y, 3 y 0 642 1265 1911 13 26 4 110 55 3406590 1340180 49 81 85
COL 30–55 y, 3 y 0 1511 1825 3339 16 25 3 99 62 4691373 2624962 53 85 194

COL indicates colonoscopy; CRC, colorectal cancer; FIT = Fecal Immunochemical Test; LY, Life-years; LYG, LY gained compared with no screening; ICER, Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (Costs/LYs gained).

a

Including deaths from complications of screening;

b

compared with no screening;

c

CRC cases and CRC death were not discounted.

Bold rows indicate optimal screening strategies.