Table 3.
Outcomes per 1,000 transplant cystic fibrosis individuals free of diagnosed cancer at age 30 years in 2017 (with organ transplant at age 30, 3% discounted)
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Screening test
|
Surveillance COLs |
Total COLs |
Compli -cations |
CRC Casesc |
CRC deatha,c |
LY with CRC |
LYGb | Total costs (*$1,000) |
Net costs (*$1,000) |
Reductionsb CRC incidencec |
(%) CRC mortalityc |
ICER (*$1,000) |
||
FIT | COLs | |||||||||||||
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Colonoscopy strategies (main analysis)
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No screening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 52 | 22 | 115 | 0 | 2,065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
COL 45–55 y, 10 y | 0 | 199 | 342 | 553 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2,438 | 374 | 25 | 57 | 1 |
COL 45–55 y, 5 y | 0 | 200 | 343 | 554 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2,439 | 374 | 25 | 58 | 7 |
COL 40–55 y, 5 y | 0 | 324 | 591 | 923 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2,601 | 536 | 36 | 70 | 12 |
COL 35–55 y, 5 y | 0 | 607 | 838 | 1,451 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 122 | 52 | 3,028 | 963 | 41 | 77 | 45 |
COL 35–55 y, 3 y | 0 | 642 | 1,265 | 1,912 | 4 | 26 | 4 | 110 | 56 | 3,347 | 1,282 | 49 | 82 | 71 |
COL 30–55 y, 3 y | 0 | 1,511 | 1,826 | 3,340 | 5 | 25 | 3 | 99 | 64 | 4,622 | 2,558 | 53 | 87 | 166 |
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All screening strategies (supplementary analysis)
| ||||||||||||||
No screening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 52 | 22 | 115 | 0 | 2,065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
COL 45–55 y, 10 y | 0 | 199 | 342 | 553 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2,438 | 374 | 25 | 57 | 1 |
COL 45–55 y, 5 y | 0 | 200 | 343 | 554 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2,439 | 374 | 25 | 58 | 7 |
COL 40–55 y, 5 y | 0 | 324 | 591 | 923 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2,601 | 536 | 36 | 70 | 12 |
FIT 35–55 y | 3,419 | 0 | 377 | 620 | 2 | 42 | 6 | 175 | 48 | 2,756 | 691 | 19 | 72 | 27 |
FIT 30–55 y | 6,702 | 0 | 460 | 811 | 2 | 41 | 5 | 177 | 54 | 3,050 | 985 | 21 | 76 | 47 |
FIT 30–60 y | 6,722 | 0 | 463 | 816 | 2 | 41 | 5 | 178 | 54 | 3,068 | 1,003 | 20 | 77 | 86 |
COL 35–55 y, 3 y | 0 | 642 | 1,265 | 1,912 | 4 | 26 | 4 | 110 | 56 | 3,347 | 1,282 | 49 | 82 | 156 |
COL 30–55 y, 3 y | 0 | 1,511 | 1,826 | 3,340 | 5 | 25 | 3 | 99 | 64 | 4,622 | 2,558 | 53 | 87 | 166 |
COL indicates colonoscopy; CRC, colorectal cancer; FIT = Fecal Immunochemical Test; LY, Life-years; LYG, LY gained compared with no screening; ICER, Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (Costs/LYs gained).
Including deaths from complications of screening;
compared with no screening;
CRC cases and CRC death were not discounted.
Bold rows indicate optimal screening strategies.