Appendix Table 5.
Outcomes per 1,000 transplant cystic fibrosis individuals free of diagnosed cancer at age 30 years in 2017 (with organ transplant at age 30, 3% discounted) | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||
Screening tests | Surveillance COLs |
Total COLs |
Compli -cations |
CRC Casesc |
CRC deatha,c |
LY with CRC |
LYGb | Total costs (*$1,000) |
Net costs (*$1,000) |
Reductionsb (%) | Efficient strategy |
|||
| ||||||||||||||
FIT | COLs | CRC incidencec |
CRC mortalityc |
|||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||
No screening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 52 | 22 | 115 | 0 | 2064654 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Dominated |
COL 50–55 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 125 | 173 | 314 | 2 | 48 | 13 | 143 | 15 | 2437339 | 372685 | 8 | 40 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 125 | 152 | 293 | 1 | 48 | 14 | 143 | 14 | 2420864 | 356209 | 8 | 39 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 124 | 151 | 293 | 1 | 48 | 14 | 143 | 14 | 2419742 | 355087 | 8 | 39 | Dominated |
COL 50–60 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 125 | 173 | 314 | 2 | 48 | 13 | 143 | 15 | 2437341 | 372687 | 8 | 40 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 125 | 152 | 293 | 1 | 48 | 14 | 143 | 14 | 2420865 | 356211 | 8 | 39 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 124 | 151 | 293 | 1 | 48 | 14 | 143 | 14 | 2420644 | 355990 | 8 | 39 | Dominated |
COL 50–65 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 125 | 173 | 314 | 2 | 48 | 13 | 143 | 15 | 2437341 | 372687 | 8 | 40 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 125 | 152 | 293 | 1 | 48 | 14 | 143 | 14 | 2420865 | 356211 | 8 | 39 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 124 | 151 | 293 | 1 | 48 | 14 | 143 | 14 | 2420644 | 355990 | 8 | 39 | Dominated |
COL 50–70 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 125 | 173 | 314 | 2 | 48 | 13 | 143 | 15 | 2437341 | 372687 | 8 | 40 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 125 | 152 | 293 | 1 | 48 | 14 | 143 | 14 | 2420865 | 356211 | 8 | 39 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 124 | 151 | 293 | 1 | 48 | 14 | 143 | 14 | 2420644 | 355990 | 8 | 39 | Dominated |
COL 50–75 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 125 | 173 | 314 | 2 | 48 | 13 | 143 | 15 | 2437341 | 372687 | 8 | 40 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 125 | 152 | 293 | 1 | 48 | 14 | 143 | 14 | 2420865 | 356211 | 8 | 39 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 124 | 151 | 293 | 1 | 48 | 14 | 143 | 14 | 2420644 | 355990 | 8 | 39 | Dominated |
COL 45–55 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 200 | 416 | 628 | 3 | 38 | 9 | 137 | 29 | 2481276 | 416622 | 27 | 59 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 200 | 343 | 554 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2438899 | 374244 | 25 | 58 | Efficient |
10 y | 0 | 199 | 342 | 553 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2438362 | 373707 | 25 | 57 | Efficient |
COL 45–60 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 200 | 416 | 628 | 3 | 38 | 9 | 137 | 29 | 2481280 | 416625 | 27 | 59 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 200 | 343 | 554 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2438902 | 374247 | 25 | 58 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 199 | 342 | 553 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2438362 | 373707 | 25 | 57 | Dominated |
COL 45–65 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 200 | 416 | 628 | 3 | 38 | 9 | 137 | 29 | 2481280 | 416625 | 27 | 59 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 200 | 343 | 554 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2438902 | 374247 | 25 | 58 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 199 | 342 | 553 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2438362 | 373707 | 25 | 57 | Dominated |
COL 45–70 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 200 | 416 | 628 | 3 | 38 | 9 | 137 | 29 | 2481280 | 416625 | 27 | 59 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 200 | 343 | 554 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2438902 | 374247 | 25 | 58 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 199 | 342 | 553 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2438362 | 373707 | 25 | 57 | Dominated |
COL 45–75 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 200 | 416 | 628 | 3 | 38 | 9 | 137 | 29 | 2481280 | 416625 | 27 | 59 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 200 | 343 | 554 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2438902 | 374247 | 25 | 58 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 199 | 342 | 553 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 139 | 28 | 2438362 | 373707 | 25 | 57 | Dominated |
COL 40–55 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 328 | 774 | 1109 | 3 | 30 | 6 | 123 | 44 | 2707578 | 642923 | 42 | 74 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 324 | 591 | 923 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2600975 | 536321 | 36 | 70 | Efficient |
10 y | 0 | 320 | 582 | 909 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2597514 | 532860 | 35 | 70 | Dominated |
COL 40–60 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 328 | 774 | 1109 | 3 | 30 | 6 | 123 | 44 | 2707578 | 642924 | 42 | 74 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 324 | 591 | 923 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2600975 | 536321 | 36 | 70 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 320 | 582 | 909 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2597584 | 532929 | 35 | 70 | Dominated |
COL 40–65 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 328 | 774 | 1109 | 3 | 30 | 6 | 123 | 44 | 2707578 | 642924 | 42 | 74 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 324 | 591 | 923 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2600975 | 536321 | 36 | 70 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 320 | 582 | 909 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2597584 | 532929 | 35 | 70 | Dominated |
COL 40–70 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 328 | 774 | 1109 | 3 | 30 | 6 | 123 | 44 | 2707578 | 642924 | 42 | 74 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 324 | 591 | 923 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2600975 | 536321 | 36 | 70 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 320 | 582 | 909 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2597584 | 532929 | 35 | 70 | Dominated |
COL 40–75 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 328 | 774 | 1109 | 3 | 30 | 6 | 123 | 44 | 2707578 | 642924 | 42 | 74 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 324 | 591 | 923 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2600975 | 536321 | 36 | 70 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 320 | 582 | 909 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 129 | 42 | 2597584 | 532929 | 35 | 70 | Dominated |
COL 35–55 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 642 | 1265 | 1912 | 4 | 26 | 4 | 110 | 56 | 3346546 | 1281892 | 49 | 82 | Optimal |
5 y | 0 | 607 | 838 | 1451 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 122 | 52 | 3028100 | 963446 | 41 | 77 | Efficient |
10 y | 0 | 571 | 788 | 1364 | 3 | 32 | 6 | 125 | 49 | 2980739 | 916084 | 39 | 75 | Dominated |
COL 35–60 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 642 | 1265 | 1912 | 4 | 26 | 4 | 110 | 56 | 3346548 | 1281894 | 49 | 82 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 607 | 838 | 1451 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 122 | 52 | 3028100 | 963446 | 41 | 77 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 571 | 788 | 1364 | 3 | 32 | 6 | 125 | 49 | 2980739 | 916084 | 39 | 75 | Dominated |
COL 35–65 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 642 | 1265 | 1912 | 4 | 26 | 4 | 110 | 56 | 3346548 | 1281894 | 49 | 82 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 607 | 838 | 1451 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 122 | 52 | 3028100 | 963446 | 41 | 77 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 571 | 788 | 1364 | 3 | 32 | 6 | 125 | 49 | 2980739 | 916084 | 39 | 75 | Dominated |
COL 35–70 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 642 | 1265 | 1912 | 4 | 26 | 4 | 110 | 56 | 3346548 | 1281894 | 49 | 82 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 607 | 838 | 1451 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 122 | 52 | 3028100 | 963446 | 41 | 77 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 571 | 788 | 1364 | 3 | 32 | 6 | 125 | 49 | 2980739 | 916084 | 39 | 75 | Dominated |
COL 35–75 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 642 | 1265 | 1912 | 4 | 26 | 4 | 110 | 56 | 3346548 | 1281894 | 49 | 82 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 607 | 838 | 1451 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 122 | 52 | 3028100 | 963446 | 41 | 77 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 571 | 788 | 1364 | 3 | 32 | 6 | 125 | 49 | 2980739 | 916084 | 39 | 75 | Dominated |
COL 30–55 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 1511 | 1826 | 3340 | 5 | 25 | 3 | 99 | 64 | 4622190 | 2557535 | 53 | 87 | Efficient |
5 y | 0 | 1316 | 1080 | 2400 | 4 | 29 | 4 | 117 | 57 | 3888961 | 1824306 | 43 | 80 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 1134 | 971 | 2110 | 4 | 31 | 5 | 121 | 54 | 3656737 | 1592083 | 41 | 77 | Dominated |
COL 30–60 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 1511 | 1826 | 3340 | 5 | 25 | 3 | 99 | 64 | 4622193 | 2557539 | 53 | 87 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 1316 | 1080 | 2400 | 4 | 29 | 4 | 117 | 57 | 3888964 | 1824309 | 43 | 80 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 1134 | 971 | 2110 | 4 | 31 | 5 | 121 | 54 | 3656827 | 1592172 | 41 | 78 | Dominated |
COL 30–65 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 1511 | 1826 | 3340 | 5 | 25 | 3 | 99 | 64 | 4622193 | 2557539 | 53 | 87 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 1316 | 1080 | 2400 | 4 | 29 | 4 | 117 | 57 | 3888964 | 1824309 | 43 | 80 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 1134 | 971 | 2110 | 4 | 31 | 5 | 121 | 54 | 3656827 | 1592172 | 41 | 78 | Dominated |
COL 30–70 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 1511 | 1826 | 3340 | 5 | 25 | 3 | 99 | 64 | 4622193 | 2557539 | 53 | 87 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 1316 | 1080 | 2400 | 4 | 29 | 4 | 117 | 57 | 3888964 | 1824309 | 43 | 80 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 1134 | 971 | 2110 | 4 | 31 | 5 | 121 | 54 | 3656827 | 1592172 | 41 | 78 | Dominated |
COL 30–75 y | ||||||||||||||
3 y | 0 | 1511 | 1826 | 3340 | 5 | 25 | 3 | 99 | 64 | 4622193 | 2557539 | 53 | 87 | Dominated |
5 y | 0 | 1316 | 1080 | 2400 | 4 | 29 | 4 | 117 | 57 | 3888964 | 1824309 | 43 | 80 | Dominated |
10 y | 0 | 1134 | 971 | 2110 | 4 | 31 | 5 | 121 | 54 | 3656827 | 1592172 | 41 | 78 | Dominated |
COL indicates colonoscopy; CRC, colorectal cancer; LY, Life-years; LYG, LY gained compared with no screening; Grey row indicates optimal screening strategy.
Including deaths from complications of screening;
compared with no screening;
CRC cases and CRC death were not discounted.