Table 4. Results from the final GAMM model describing the predicted impacts of the climatic variables on the nightly abundance of Anopheles species.
Response variable | Independent Variable | Relative Risk * (95%CI) | ΔDev | p-value |
---|---|---|---|---|
Anopheles arabiensis | Mean night temperature | 1.11 (0.92 – 1.34) | 18.4 | 0.272 |
Mean night humidity | 0.58 (0.37 – 0.90) | 103.2 | 0.016 | |
Rainfall on the capture day | 1.16 (1.04 – 1.30) | 78.5 | 0.007 | |
Aggregated rainfall 2 to 3 weeks | 1.13 (1.00 – 1.28) | 58.9 | 0.049 | |
Aggregated rainfall 3 to 4 weeks | 1.31 (1.16 – 1.48) | 141.2 | <0.001 | |
Density dependence covariates | 1.31 (1.10 – 1.56) | 28.5 | 0.003 | |
Anopheles funestus | Mean night temperature | 1.66 (1.24 – 2.23) | 2.95 | <0.001 |
Mean night humidity | 1.55 (1.17 – 2.07) | 1.6 | 0.003 | |
Rainfall on the capture day | 1.26 (1.06 – 1.50) | 24.7 | <0.001 | |
Aggregated rainfall 1 to 2 weeks | 0.81 (0.67 – 1.01) | 1.3 | 0.059 | |
Aggregated rainfall 3 to 4 weeks | 1.43 (1.18 – 1.74) | 6.7 | <0.001 | |
Density dependence variable | 2.76 (1.88 – 4.03) | 21.6 | <0.001 |
*Relative Risk of greater than 1 indicated a positive association whereas less than 1 indicates a negative association.