Table 2.
Time trends in caesarean section rates in all women and by parity (438 hospitals in China in 2012-16)
| Variables | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | P value (interaction) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weighted caesarean section rate (%) (No of caesarean sections, % of caesarean sections) | ||||||
| All | 45.3 (617 460, 100.0) | 45.6 (606 607, 100.0) | 43.8 (660 154, 100.0) | 42.1 (561 127, 100.0) | 41.1 (632 753, 100.0) | - |
| Nulliparous | 46.6 (415 530, 67.4) | 46.7 (393 807, 64.9) | 43.3 (397 980, 60.3) | 40.5 (300 413, 53.6) | 37.9 (308 308, 48.7) | |
| Multiparous without uterine scar | 25.4 (84 711, 13.8) | 24.9 (84 600, 14.0) | 22.7 (90 494, 13.7) | 20.5 (78 339, 14.0) | 18.5 (84 100, 13.3) | |
| Multiparous with uterine scar | 90.3 (116 049, 18.8) | 90.9 (127 559, 21.1) | 91.0 (171 257, 26.0) | 90.5 (181 811, 32.4) | 90.4 (239 892, 37.9) | |
| Crude relative risk (95% CI): model 1 | ||||||
| All | 1.00 | 1.01 (0.99 to 1.02) | 0.97 (0.95 to 0.98) | 0.93 (0.91 to 0.95) | 0.91 (0.89 to 0.93) | - |
| Nulliparous | 1.00 | 1.00 (0.99 to 1.02) | 0.93 (0.91 to 0.95) | 0.87 (0.85 to 0.89) | 0.81 (0.79 to 0.84) | 0.00 |
| Multiparous without uterine scar | 1.00 | 0.98 (0.92 to 1.01) | 0.89 (0.86 to 0.93) | 0.81 (0.77 to 0.84) | 0.73 (0.70 to 0.76) | |
| Multiparous with uterine scar | 1.00 | 1.01 (1.00 to 1.01) | 1.01 (1.00 to 1.01) | 1.00 (1.00 to 1.01) | 1.00 (0.99 to 1.01) | |
| Adjusted relative risk (95% CI): model 3 | ||||||
| All | 1.00 | 0.99 (0.98 to 1.00) | 0.93 (0.91 to 0.94) | 0.87 (0.86 to 0.89) | 0.82 (0.81 to 0.84) | - |
| Nulliparous* | 1.00 | 0.99 (0.98 to 1.01) | 0.91 (0.89 to 0.93) | 0.85 (0.83 to 0.87) | 0.78 (0.76 to 0.80) | 0.00 |
| Multiparous without uterine scar* | 1.00 | 0.97 (0.95 to 1.00) | 0.88 (0.85 to 0.91) | 0.78 (0.75 to 0.82) | 0.69 (0.66 to 0.72) | |
| Multiparous with uterine scar* | 1.00 | 1.00 (1.00 to 1.01) | 1.00 (1.00 to 1.01) | 0.99 (0.99 to 1.00) | 0.99 (0.98 to 0.99) | |
6925 (0.1%) births had no information on parity and presence of uterine scar.
Model 3 without adjustment for Robson classification.