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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Mar 5.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet Glob Health. 2017 Jan 31;5(3):e300–e309. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(16)30362-X

Table 1.

Key parameter values used in the estimates, and accompanying range used in the sensitivity analysis

Parameter Symbol Default
value
Range used in
sensitivity analysis
Reference(s)
HSV-2
Average number of days between HSV-2 infection and the development of protective IgG antibodies (=transmission window) xHSV-2 21 days -- 19,20
Risk of neonatal infection from a prevalent maternal HSV-2 infection rprev_HSV-2 0·02% 0·0045% and 0·064% 7
Risk of neonatal infection from an incident maternal HSV-2 infection which occurs near labour and before antibodies have developed rincid_HSV-2 7.7% 2·7% and 15·4% 7,17
HSV-1
Average number of days between HSV-1 infection and the development of protective IgG antibodies (=transmission window) xHSV-1 25 days -- 20
Risk of neonatal infection from a prevalent maternal HSV-1 infection (any HSV-1infection) rprev_HSV-1 0·0063% 0·00077% and 0·023% 7 and Stacy Selke, personal communication
Risk of neonatal infection from an incident maternal HSV-1 infection (any HSV-1 infection) which occurs near labour and before antibodies have developed rincid_HSV-1 11% 3·1% and 26·1% 7 and Amalia Magaret, personal communication, based on data described in18

For full details see Supplementary appendix.