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. 2016 Jul 19;38(8):598–608. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehw301

Table 2.

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events predicted via the American Heart Association-American College of Cardiology-Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease risk score and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events observed among Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants aged 45–79, stratified by gender and race/ethnicity

Risk score n Predicted events, n (%) Observed events, n (%) Absolute difference Discordance (%)a c-statistic
Women 3388 298.1 (8.80) 149 (4.40) 4.40 100 0.74
White 1286 97.9 (7.61) 57 (4.43) 3.18 72 0.70
Black 979 108.4 (11.07) 50 (5.11) 5.96 117 0.75
Chinese 392 31.7 (8.07) 9 (2.30) 5.78 252 0.83
Hispanic 731 60.2 (8.24) 33 (4.51) 3.72 82 0.79
Men 3053 425.0 (13.92) 220 (7.21) 6.71 93 0.71
White 1194 161.1 (13.49) 85 (7.12) 6.37 90 0.71
Black 798 117.2 (14.69) 65 (8.15) 6.54 80 0.68
Chinese 371 49.7 (13.38) 12 (3.23) 10.15 314 0.63
Hispanic 690 97.0 (14.06) 58 (8.41) 5.66 67 0.75

aDiscordance is defined as ([{expected percentage − observed percentage}/observed percentage] × 100).