Table 1.
Model input | Source |
General | |
Population | |
Age-sex structure | Statistics South Africa |
Age-specific mortality rates | IHME GBD 2015 |
Price and tax | |
Product prices | Statistics South Africa, National budget review |
Existing excise duties | National budget review |
Intervention-specific | |
Cigarettes | |
Price elasticity | IARC |
Smoking prevalence and intensity | National income dynamics study |
Mortality relative risk | Gettert et al (2012) |
Beer | |
Price elasticity | Authors’ calculations |
Alcoholic beverage intake | All media and products survey |
Mortality relative risk | Di Castelnouvo et al (2006) |
SSB | |
Price elasticity | Cabrera-Escobar et al (2013) |
Beverage intake | All media and products survey |
Age-sex BMI distributions | National income dynamics study |
Mortality relative risk | Freedman et al (2006) |
Details on parameter values and further mathematical detail are provided in online supplementary appendix.
BMI, body mass index; SSB, sugar-sweetened beverage.