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. 2018 Feb 6;319(5):452–463. doi: 10.1001/jama.2017.21899

Table 2. Primary, Secondary, and Exploratory Outcomes Among Patients With and Without Patent Foramen Ovale.

Outcomes PFO (n = 1540) No PFO (n = 148 658) Absolute RD, % (95% CI) Adjusted Absolute RD, % (95% CI) OR (95% CI)b
No. (%) Estimated Probability, % (95% CI)a No. (%) Estimated Probability, % (95% CI)a Unadjusted P Value Adjustedc P Value
Primary
Perioperative ischemic stroke 49 (3.2) 0.6 (0.4 to 0.8) 801 (0.5) 0.2 (0.2 to 0.3) 2.6 (1.8 to 3.5) 0.4 (0.2 to 0.6) 6.07 (4.52 to 8.13) <.001 2.66 (1.96 to 3.63) <.001
Stroke subtyped
Total anterior 18 (1.2) 0.2 (0.08 to 0.3) 214 (0.1) 0.05 (0.04 to 0.07) 1.0 (0.5 to 1.6) 0.1 (0.04 to 0.2) 8.34 (5.14 to 13.53)e <.001 3.66 (2.20 to 6.08)e <.001
Partial anterior 6 (0.4) 0.07 (0.01 to 0.1) 127 (0.1) 0.03 (0.02 to 0.04) 0.3 (−0.01 to 0.6) 0.04 (−0.0002 to 0.001) 4.69 (2.06 to 10.64)e <.001 2.28 (0.98 to 5.30)e .06
Posterior circulation 13 (0.8) 0.2 (0.1 to 0.3) 193 (0.1) 0.05 (0.04 to 0.07) 0.7 (0.3 to 1.2) 0.1 (0.01 to 0.2) 6.68 (3.80 to 11.74)e <.001 3.14 (1.75 to 5.63)e <.001
Lacunar 0 0 (0 to 0) 37 (<0.1) 0.002 (−0.002 to 0.006) −0.02 (−0.03 to −0.02) −0.002 (−0.006 to 0.002) 0.00e .99 0.00e .99
Unclassifiable 12 (0.8) 0.1 (0.04 to 0.2) 230 (0.2) 0.06 (0.04 to 0.07) 0.6 (0.2 to 1.1) 0.0006 (−0.0001 to 0.001) 5.17 (2.89 to 9.27)e <.001 1.98 (1.09 to 3.61)e .026
Large-vessel territory strokef 37 (2.4) 0.5 (0.3 to 0.6) 534 (0.4) 0.1 (0.1 to 0.2) 2.0 (−14.5 to 18.6) 0.003 (0.001 to 0.005) 6.87 (4.91 to 9.63)e <.001 3.14 (2.21 to 4.48)e <.001
Secondary Outcomes
30-d readmission 245 (15.9) 7.0 (6.0 to 7.9) 11 352 (7.6) 6.1 (6.0 to 6.3) 8.3 (6.4 to 10.10) 0.8 (−0.1 to 1.8) 2.29 (1.99 to 2.63) <.001 1.15 (0.99 to 1.33) .07
30-d mortality 27 (1.8) 0.1 (0.06 to 0.2) 917 (0.6) 0.1 (0.09 to 0.1) 1.1 (0.5 to 1.8) 0.01 (−0.05 to 0.04) 2.88 (1.95 to 4.23) <.001 0.95 (0.63 to 1.43) .80
Systemic embolic complications
Composite outcomeg 50 (3.3) 3.1 (2.3 to 4.0) 2127 (1.4) 1.4 (1.3 to 1.4) 1.8 (0.9 to 2.7) 1.8 (0.8 to 2.6) 2.31 (1.74 to 3.07) <.001 2.31 (1.74 to 3.08)h <.001
Renal artery embolism 4 (0.3) 0.3 (0.0 to 0.5) 74 (0.1) 0.05 (0.04 to 0.06) 0.2 (−0.04 to 0.5) 0.2 (0.04 to 0.2) 5.23 (1.91 to 14.32) .001 5.15 (1.88 to 14.13)h .001
Acute limb ischemia 14 (0.9) 0.8 (0.5 to 1.3) 555 (0.4) 0.4 (0.3 to 0.4) 0.5 (0.1 to 1.0) 0.5 (0.03 to 0.9) 2.44 (1.44 to 4.17) .001 2.31 (1.35 to 3.94)h .002
Acute intestinal vascular insufficiency 7 (0.5) 0.3 (0.08 to 0.6) 284 (0.2) 0.1 (0.1 to 0.2) 0.3 (−0.07 to 0.6) 0.2 (−0.07 to 0.4) 2.39 (1.13 to 5.06) .023 2.04 (0.96 to 4.33)h .064
Acute myocardial infarction 45 (2.9) 1.5 (1.1 to 2.0) 922 (0.6) 0.4 (0.4 to 0.4) 2.3 (1.5 to 3.1) 1.1 (0.7 to 1.6) 4.82 (3.56 to 6.53) <.001 1.60 (1.13 to 2.27) .008
Falsification testing
Septic shock 15 (1.0) 0.09 (0.04 to 0.1) 525 (0.4) 0.1 (0.08 to 0.1) 0.6 (0.1 to 1.1) −0.01 (−0.06 to 0.04) 2.78 (1.66 to 4.65) <.001 0.89 (0.52 to 1.52) .67
Wound complication 103 (6.7) 3.0 (2.4 to 3.6) 6807 (4.6) 3.3 (3.2 to 3.4) 2.1 (0.9 to 3.4) −0.3 (−0.9 to 0.3) 1.49 (1.22 to 1.83) <.001 0.90 (0.73 to 1.11) .35
Peptic ulcer disease 8 (0.5) 0.3 (0.1 to 0.5)i 492 (0.3) 0.2 (0.2 to 0.3)i 0.2 (−0.2 to 0.5) 0.06 (−0.15 to 0.27) 1.57 (0.78 to 3.17) .21 1.23 (0.61 to 2.49)i .56

Abbreviations: IQR, interquartile range; OR, odds ratio; RD, risk difference.

a

Estimated probabilities were calculated by holding all other covariates at means.

b

ORs were derived from logistic regression.

c

If not stated otherwise, adjusted analyses were adjusted for baseline patient characteristics including age, sex, body mass index, American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification, and Charlson Comorbidity Index; coexisting conditions such as history of cigarette smoking, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, coronary artery disease, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, pulmonary edema, pulmonary hypertension, cardiomyopathy, congenital heart disease, atrial fibrillation, valvular heart disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, migraine, chronic kidney disease, hypercoagulable state, deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and systemic embolic phenomenon; prescription use within 28 days before surgery of β-blockers, statins, antiplatelet agents, and anticoagulants; factors relating to surgery including emergency surgery status, inpatient surgery, high-risk surgical service, duration of surgery, intraoperative hypotensive minutes, intraoperative dose of vasopressors, intraoperative fluid volumes, requirement for packed red blood cells transfusion, and work relative value units.

d

Stroke subtype by Oxford Community Stroke Project classification.

e

Relative risk ratio, derived from multinomial logistic regression.

f

Includes total anterior, partial anterior, and posterior circulation strokes.

g

Indicates composite outcome of acute embolic events in the extremities, kidneys, spleen, splanchnic circulation, and retina.

h

Values were adjusted for age, sex, and body mass index.

i

Values were adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, and the 3 most significant predictors of perioperative stroke (based on the β-coefficients in the primary logistic regression model)—emergency surgery status, inpatient surgery, and high-risk surgical service.