Skip to main content
. 2017 Jul 28;18(1):695. doi: 10.4102/sajhivmed.v18i1.695

FIGURE 1.

FIGURE 1

Male circumcision rates and posterior estimates of sexual behaviour parameters, initial HIV prevalence and antenatal bias. Panel (a) shows the modelled prevalence of male circumcision in men aged 15–49 years in 2000 (prior to MMC promotion campaigns); (b) Multiplicative adjustment to high risk proportion; (c) Sexual mixing parameter; (d) Multiplicative adjustment to condom usage; (e) Initial HIV prevalence in women aged 15–49 years (initial HIV prevalence in high-risk women multiplied by the fraction of women in the high-risk group); (f) Antenatal bias (on logit scale). Panels (b)–(f) show posterior means of the input parameters for which prior distributions have been specified (Table 1), and error bars represent the 95% confidence intervals from the posterior distributions. In all panels, the dashed line represents the national average.