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. 2018 Mar 9;8:4232. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-22708-9

Table 1.

Sensitivity and specificity of tests measuring antibodies to Pgp3 based on input parameters. Pos = positive; ind = indeterminate; neg = negative. LFA = lateral flow assay; ELISA = enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay; MBA = multiplex bead array. ROC = receiver operator characteristics; MM = mixture model. DF = degrees of freedom. AIC = Akaike Information Criterion. BIC = Bayesian Information Criterion. Bolded rows are referenced in the text.

Model # Latent Classes Diagnosis Categories LFA Blood test LFA Serum test ELISA coating Cutoff N DF AIC BIC G2 test p-value χ2 test p-value Proportion positive MBA Sensitivity MBA Specificity ELISA Sensitivity ELISA Specificity LFA Sensitivity LFA Specificity
1 2 Pos/neg Yes Yes Fresh ROC 283 4 743.6 783.7 0.11  < 0.01 0.36 (0.28–0.44) 0.95 (0.87–1.00) 0.98 (0.96–1.00) 0.87 (0.77–0.96) 0.98 (0.94–1.00) 0.87 (0.77–0.97) 0.96 (0.91–1.00)
2 2 Pos/neg Yes Yes Dried ROC 283 4 736.6 776.7  < 0.01  < 0.01 0.35 (0.27–0.43) 0.96 (0.90–1.00) 0.98 (0.95–1.00) 0.81 (0.69–0.92) 0.99 (0.97–1.00) 0.88 (0.79–0.98) 0.95 (0.90–1.00)
3 2 Pos/neg Yes Yes Fresh MM 283 4 742.2 782.2 0.08 0.01 0.37 (0.29–0.45) 0.92 (0.84–1.00) 0.99 (0.96–1.00) 0.99 (0.96–1.00) 0.91 (0.85–0.98) 0.85 (0.75–0.95) 0.97 (0.93–1.00)
4 2 Pos/neg Yes Yes Dried MM 283 4 692.1 732.2 0.14 0.03 0.37 (0.29–0.45) 0.93 (0.85–1.00) 0.98 (0.96–1.00) 0.99 (0.96–1.00) 0.96 (0.92–1.00) 0.86 (0.76–0.96) 0.97 (0.93–1.00)
5 2 Pos/neg No Yes Fresh ROC 569 0 1247.1 1277.5 0.42 0.97 0.98 0.89 0.98 0.99 0.97
6 2 Pos/neg No Yes Dried ROC 569 0 1266.8 1297.2 0.41 0.98 0.98 0.86 0.98 0.99 0.96
7 2 Pos/neg No Yes Fresh MM 569 0 1210.2 1240.6 0.43 0.95 0.99 1.00 0.92 0.98 0.98
8 2 Pos/neg No Yes Dried MM 569 0 1144.8 1175.2 0.43 0.95 0.98 1.00 0.96 0.99 0.98
9 2 Pos/neg Yes No Fresh ROC 289 0 675.3 701.0 0.34 0.96 0.97 0.87 0.96 0.91 0.99
10 2 Pos/neg Yes No Dried ROC 289 0 647.8 673.5 0.33 0.96 0.96 0.84 0.99 0.94 0.99
11 2 Pos/neg Yes No Fresh MM 289 0 676.3 702.0 0.36 0.95 0.99 0.99 0.89 0.88 0.99
12 2 Pos/neg Yes No Dried MM 289 0 633.0 658.7 0.35 0.95 0.98 0.99 0.95 0.90 0.99
13 2 Pos/ind/neg Yes Yes Fresh ROC 297 48 1102.9 1187.9 0.15  < 0.01 0.39 (0.33–0.44) 0.89 (0.82–0.95) 0.97 (0.94–0.99) 0.70 (0.60–0.79) 0.97 (0.95–1.00) 0.77 (0.69–0.86) 0.96 (0.92–0.99)
14 2 Pos/ind/neg No Yes Fresh ROC 579 13 1632.2 1688.9  < 0.01  < 0.01 0.42 (0.38–0.47) 0.95 (0.91–0.98) 0.97 (0.95–0.99) 0.80 (0.74–0.86) 0.96 (0.94–0.99) 0.97 (0.94–0.99) 0.96 (0.94–0.99)
15 2 Pos/ind/neg Yes No Fresh ROC 297 13 956.0 1004  < 0.01  < 0.01 0.39 (0.32–0.45) 0.89 (0.81–0.96) 0.96 (0.93–1.00) 0.70 (0.59–0.80) 0.97 (0.94–1.00) 0.80 (0.71–0.89) 1.00 (0.98–1.00)
16 3 Pos/ind/neg Yes Yes Fresh ROC 297 36 1096.4 1225.7 0.84 0.04 0.27 (0.11–0.43) 0.99 (0.91–1.00) 0.97 (0.94–1.00) 0.92 (0.63–1.00) 0.98 (0.95–1.00) 0.89 (0.79–0.99) 0.96 (0.93–0.99)
17 3 Pos/ind/neg No Yes Fresh ROC 579 6 1613.4 1700.6 0.85 0.95 0.38 (0.30–0.46) 0.98 (0.96–1.00) 0.98 (0.96–1.00) 0.90 (0.73–1.00) 0.97 (0.95–0.99) 0.98 (0.96–1.00) 0.96 (0.94–0.99)
18 3 Pos/ind/neg Yes No Fresh ROC 297 6 939.5 1013.4 0.09 0.04 0.35 (0.27–0.42) 0.95 (0.89–1.00) 0.99 (0.96–1.00) 0.78 (0.65–0.91) 0.98 (0.94–1.00) 0.84 (0.75–0.94) 1.00 (0.98–1.00)
19 2 Pos/ind/neg Yes Yes Dried ROC 297 48 1129.1 1214.1 0.03  < 0.01 0.39 (0.33–0.44) 0.89 (0.82–0.96) 0.96 (0.94–0.99) 0.61 (0.51–0.72) 0.97 (0.94–1.00) 0.78 (0.70–0.86) 0.95 (0.92–0.99)
20 2 Pos/ind/neg No Yes Dried ROC 579 13 1675.4 1732.1  < 0.01  < 0.01 0.42 (0.38–0.47) 0.95 (0.92–0.99) 0.97 (0.95–0.99) 0.75 (0.69–0.82) 0.97 (0.94–0.99) 0.97 (0.94–1.00) 0.96 (0.93–0.98)
21 2 Pos/ind/neg Yes No Dried ROC 297 13 976.4 1024.4  < 0.01  < 0.01 0.37 (0.31–0.43) 0.90 (0.82–0.97) 0.94 (0.90–0.99) 0.63 (0.52–0.75) 0.96 (0.93–1.00) 0.84 (0.75–0.92) 1.00 (0.98–1.00)
22 3 Pos/ind/neg Yes Yes Dried ROC 297 36 1109.8 1239.1 0.92 0.93 0.27 (0.18–0.37) 0.99 (0.96–1.00) 0.97 (0.94–1.00) 0.86 (0.59–1.00) 0.98 (0.95–1.00) 0.89 (0.82–0.96) 0.96 (0.93–0.99)
23 3 Pos/ind/neg No Yes Dried ROC 579 6 1650.0 1737.2 0.45 0.62 0.37 (0.27–0.47) 0.99 (0.98–1.00) 0.98 (0.96–1.00) 0.86 (0.66–1.00) 0.97 (0.95–1.00) 0.98 (0.96–1.00) 0.97 (0.93–1.00)
24 3 Pos/ind/neg Yes No Dried ROC 297 6 951.8 1025.7 0.09 0.17 0.30 (0.21–0.38) 0.98 (0.95–1.00) 0.99 (0.93–1.00) 0.79 (0.60–0.98) 0.99 (0.95–1.00) 0.90 (0.82–0.99) 1.00 (1.00–1.00)