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. 2018 Mar 13;9:869. doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-02992-9

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© The Author(s) 2018

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 5 — Arctic variability leads occurrence of severe winter weather. The correlation between average daily change in the AWSSI at selected weather stations across the US associated with polar cap geopotential height anomalies (PCH) for all days between ±30 days. The peak value is reached when the PCH leads the AWSSI by 5 days