Table 1.
Precision (measured by the root mean squared deviation), Bias, and Coverage (% of simulations in which the true value is found in the 95% highest posterior density intervals) of Parameter Estimates When Fitting Models to Either Epidemiological, Phylogenetic, or Both Types of Data.
Data | : RMSD | : Bias | : in HPD | : RMSD | : Bias | : in HPD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Both | 0.1507 | −0.0756 | 100% | 15.0737 | 0.0103 | 75% |
Epi | 0.1695 | −0.0387 | 100% | 673.9374 | 93.4255 | 100% |
Phy | 0.1863 | −0.0855 | 100% | 31.7680 | 0.5461 | 100% |
Data | : RMSD | : Bias | : in HPD | : RMSD | : Bias | : in HPD |
Both | 11.0638 | 0.1813 | 100% | 0.1183 | −0.0766 | 75.00% |
Epi | 11.4962 | 0.3933 | 100% | 0.1267 | −0.1002 | 83.33% |
Phy | 11.9352 | −1.2768 | 100% | NA | NA | NA |
Note.—These statistics were evaluated across all simulations presented in figure 1. The estimates of epidemic start dates were converted to the number of days after an arbitrary date. For bias and precision, we normalized the statistics by the true parameter value.