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. 2017 Jul 11;34(11):2982–2995. doi: 10.1093/molbev/msx195

Table 1.

Precision (measured by the root mean squared deviation), Bias, and Coverage (% of simulations in which the true value is found in the 95% highest posterior density intervals) of Parameter Estimates When Fitting Models to Either Epidemiological, Phylogenetic, or Both Types of Data.

Data R0: RMSD R0: Bias R0: in HPD k: RMSD k: Bias k: in HPD
Both 0.1507 −0.0756 100% 15.0737 0.0103 75%
Epi 0.1695 −0.0387 100% 673.9374 93.4255 100%
Phy 0.1863 −0.0855 100% 31.7680 0.5461 100%
Data T0: RMSD T0: Bias T0: in HPD ρ: RMSD ρ: Bias ρ: in HPD
Both 11.0638 0.1813 100% 0.1183 −0.0766 75.00%
Epi 11.4962 0.3933 100% 0.1267 −0.1002 83.33%
Phy 11.9352 −1.2768 100% NA NA NA

Note.—These statistics were evaluated across all simulations presented in figure 1. The estimates of epidemic start dates T0 were converted to the number of days after an arbitrary date. For bias and precision, we normalized the statistics by the true parameter value.