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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Feb 1.

Published in final edited form as: J Abnorm Psychol. 2018 Feb;127(2):139–149. doi: 10.1037/abn0000317

Table 3.

Concentration of Risk of Suicide Attempt among Ideators, Weighted Analysis

	Simulated sample (n=690,500)

	Sensitivity		Positive predictive value
	% of suicide attempts	(SE)	% with suicide attempt	(SE)
Top 99^th percentile	30.0	(2.9)	39.5	(3.1)
Top 98^th percentile	44.2	(2.9)	32.5	(2.2)
Top 97^th percentile	55.8	(3.1)	28.8	(1.7)
Top 96^th percentile	61.4	(3.0)	25.1	(1.4)
Top 95^th percentile	66.2	(3.1)	22.4	(1.3)
Top 90^th percentile	80.2	(2.2)	14.9	(0.8)

Note: Estimates calculated from 20 replicates of 10-fold cross-validation of the final model.