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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Mar 15.
Published in final edited form as: JAMA Pediatr. 2016 Nov 7;170(11):e162385. doi: 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2016.2385

Table 2.

Crude and Multivariable-Adjusted Risk Ratios (RR) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for Offspring Obesity Associated With Cesarean vs. Vaginal Delivery. Data from the Growing Up Today Study, 1996–2011.

Variable Obese/participants (%) RR (95%CI) ) for Offspring Obesity
Main analyses 2,766/22,068 (13%)
Vaginal Delivery 2,012/17,147 (12%) 1.00 (ref)
Cesarean Delivery (Crude) 754/4,921 (15%) 1.30 (1.21, 1.41) <0.001
Cesarean Delivery (Model 1)1 754/4,921 (15%) 1.15 (1.06, 1.26) 0.002
Sensitivity analyses
Propensity-score based estimate2 754/4,921 (15%) 1.17 (1.08, 1.27) <0.001
Treating maternal BMI as continuous variable3 754/4,921 (15%) 1.13 (1.03, 1.23) <0.001
Repeated measures estimate4 754/4,921 (15%) 1.23 (1.11, 1.37) <0.001
Restricted to no known risk factors for cesarean5 (N=8566) 200/1,503 (13%) 1.30 (1.09, 1.54) 0.004
Restricted to siblings (N=12903) 417/2748 (15%) 1.24 (1.10, 1.41) <0.001
1

Model 1 was adjusted for maternal age at delivery, race (white, other), maternal pre-pregnancy BMI group (<18.5, 18.5–24.99, 25–29.99, 30+ kg/m2), maternal height, gestational diabetes (yes, no), preeclampsia (yes, no), pregnancy induced hypertension(yes, no), child sex (male, female), year of birth (<=1984, 1985–1989, >1989), gestational age at delivery (<37, 37–39, 40–42, 43+ weeks), previous Cesarean section(yes, no), birth order, birth weight group (<5, 5–6.9, 7–8.4,8.5–9.9, 10+ lbs), pre-pregnancy smoking (never, past, current) and region of residence at birth (Northeast, Midwest, West, South).

2

Propensity-score based estimate using marginal structural model where the probability of undergoing a cesarean section was predicted for each woman based on these same factors and subsequently used to weight each observation using stabilized weights.

3

This model adjusted for the same covariates in model 1 but modeling pre-pregnancy BMI as a continuous variable with a linear term and a quadratic term instead of categorical.

4

GEE estimate using repeated obesity status during each follow up cycle.

5

Subgroup of participants without known risk factors for cesarean (maternal pre-pregnancy BMI<25kg/m2, no gestational diabetes, no hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, never smoker, maternal age<30 years old, gestational age at delivery between 37 and 42 weeks, and birth weight between 5 and 9.9 lbs).

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