Table 5.
Summary of results from sensitivity analyses: posterior PPBE using models from each source publication (i.e. differing outcome and explanatory variables)
| Source publication | Outcome | Explanatory variables used in source publication | Prior information used | Dose information | Posterior PPBE (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludvigsson (2008) [4] | C-peptide change (15 months) | Treatment baseline C-peptide | Normal distribution | Two-dose | 85.88 |
| Ludvigsson (2008) [4] | C-peptide change (30 months) | Treatment baseline C-peptide | Normal distribution | Two-dose | 97.63 |
| Ludvigsson (2008) [4] | AUC change (15 months) | Treatment baseline AUC | Normal distribution | Two-dose | 99.38 |
| Ludvigsson (2008) [4] | AUC change (30 months) | Treatment baseline AUC | Normal distribution | Two-dose | 98.16 |
| Wherrett (2011) [5] | loge (C-peptide + 1) (12 months) | Sex | Normal distribution | Two-dose | 26.76 |
| Age | Three-dose | 68.82 | |||
| Treatment | |||||
| Baseline loge (C-peptide + 1) | |||||
| Ludvigsson (2012) [6] | loge (AUC/initial AUC) (3, 9 and 15 months) | Treatment | Normal distribution | Two-dose | 97.14 |
| loge (initial AUC) | Four-dose | 96.82 | |||
| Month | |||||
| Treatment × month | |||||
| loge (Initial AUC) × month |