Table 1.
Area | Method | Source | Count | % in survey (n = 122) | Population size estimate | Uncertainty estimates |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco (city and county) | Service multiplier | |||||
Service provider #1 | 83 | 8.2% | 1012 | 371–1656a | ||
Service provider #2 | 140 | 12.3% | 1138 | 581–1698a | ||
Service provider #3 | 75 | 22.1% | 339 | 205–476a | ||
Municipal STD clinic | 16 | 5.7% | 281 | 37–526a | ||
Wisdom of the crowds | Survey, median response | NA | NA | 600 | 150–20,000b | |
Literature | Census, Flores report | 717,884 | 0.76% (0.42–1.31%) [7] | 5456 /2 = 2728 | 1507–4702c | |
Median | 806 | |||||
San Francisco Bay Area | Multiplier | |||||
Private physician practice | 345 | 5.7% | 6053 | 1637–10,470a | ||
Community event | 288 | 14.8% | 1946 | 1087–2806a | ||
Wisdom of the crowds | Survey, median response | NA | NA | 2000 | 40–96,000b | |
Literature | Census, Flores report | Total adults = 5,867,054 | 0.76% (0.42–1.31%) [7] | 44,590/2 = 22,294 | 1230–38,429c | |
Median | 4027 |
NA not applicable
a95% confidence intervals
b2.5 and 97.5 percentiles of responses
cCalculated using published credible intervals [7]