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. 2018 Mar 21;8:4921. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-22989-0

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© The Author(s) 2018

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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The seasonal majority rule method for consensus building across ecological forecasts. (a) Mean (black) and median (dashed) trajectories for 100 epidemic simulations. (b) The majority rule map: shading represents the number of months each county is marked suitable for outbreaks. (c) Final average case totals in the seasonal majority rule method. Maps were made in R 3.3.2⁶⁸ (https://www.R-project.org), using U.S. Census shapefiles.