Table 4.
Majority Rule | Seasonal Majority Rule | |
---|---|---|
Counties Predicted | 383 | 370 |
County Population at Risk | 93,195,970 | 87,632,865 |
Mean Outbreak Size | 60,259,904 | 24,267,441 |
Median Outbreak Size | 60,940,111 | 24,407,885 |
The main majority rule model combines the Carlson, Messina, and Samy forecasts; the seasonal majority rule model assigns monthly suitability values to that forecast, based on the minimum temperature 97.5% Mordecai model.