Table 4.

Majority rule based consensus models, meant to resolve uncertainty between the forecasts and provide a middle scenario.

	Majority Rule	Seasonal Majority Rule
Counties Predicted	383	370
County Population at Risk	93,195,970	87,632,865
Mean Outbreak Size	60,259,904	24,267,441
Median Outbreak Size	60,940,111	24,407,885

The main majority rule model combines the Carlson, Messina, and Samy forecasts; the seasonal majority rule model assigns monthly suitability values to that forecast, based on the minimum temperature 97.5% Mordecai model.