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. 2018 Feb 21;53(4):351–361. doi: 10.1007/s00127-018-1500-7

Table 3.

Five years incidence of major depressive disorder and associations with social and economic risk factors among men and women in the Ibadan Study of Ageing

Baseline risk factors Men Women Adjusteda HR (95%)
No of incident cases Incidence rate per 1000 person-years (95% CI) Unadjusted HR (95%) Adjusteda HR (95%) No of incident cases Incidence rate per 1000 person-years (95% CI) Unadjusted HR (95%)
Overall 202 94.7 (82.5–108.7) N/A N/A 262 153.8 (136.3–173.6) N/A N/A
Economic factors
 Education (years)
  13+ 14 73.1 (43.3–123.4) Reference Reference 22 197.3 (129.9–299.7) Reference Reference
  7–12 28 91.8 (63.4–133.0) 1.4 (0.6–3.3) 1.4 (0.6–3.3) 33 147.7 (105.0–207.7) 0.6 (0.2–1.6) 0.6 (0.2–1.6)
  1–6 48 97.0 (73.1–128.7) 1.5 (0.7–3.3) 1.5 (0.7–3.2) 64 149.0 (116.6–190.4) 0.7 (0.3–1.4) 0.7 (0.3–1.4)
  0 112 98.1 (81.5–118.0) 1.7 (0.8–3.8) 1.7 (0.8–3.8) 143 152.4 (129.3–179.5) 0.8 (0.4–1.5) 0.8 (0.4–1.5)
 Occupational attainment
  Skilled 35 82.6 (59.3–115.1) Reference Reference 8 166.7 (83.3–333.3) Reference Reference
  Trade 35 90.0 (64.6–125.3) 1.4 (1.0–2.0) 1.4 (1.0–2.0)* 169 156.9 (135.0–182.5) 0.9 (0.3–2.4) 0.9 (0.3–2.3)
  Elementary 112 96.9 (80.5–116.6) 1.5 (1.1–2.1) 1.5 (1.1–2.1)* 62 159.6 (124.4–204.7) 1.2 (0.5–2.9) 1.2 (0.5–2.8)
 Household assets (number)
  3–10 147 106.3 (90.5–125.0) Reference Reference 153 166.1 (141.8–194.6) Reference Reference
  < 3 33 74.7 (53.1–105.0) 0.8 (0.5–1.3) 0.8 (0.5–1.3) 88 129.5 (105.1–159.6) 0.8 (0.7–1.0) 0.8 (0.7–1.1)
  > 10 22 71.2 (46.9–108.1) 0.8 (0.5–1.1) 0.8 (0.5–1.1) 21 204.9 (133.6–314.2) 1.2 (0.8–1.9) 1.3 (0.8–1.9)
 Place of residence
  Urban 39 79.1 (57.8–108.3) Reference Reference 68 157.8 (124.4–200.1) Reference Reference
  Semi-urban 94 110.4 (90.2–135.1) 1.4 (0.9–2.2) 1.5 (1.0–2.2) 104 143.9 (118.8–174.4) 1.0 (0.8–1.4) 1.0 (0.8–1.4)
  Rural 69 87.5 (69.1–110.7) 1.2 (0.8–2.0) 1.2 (0.8–2.0) 90 163.8 (133.2–201.4) 1.3 (1.0–1.7) 1.3 (1.0–1.7)*
 Household floor types
  Hard floor 161 96.5 (82.7–112.6) Reference Reference 199 152.7 (132.9–175.4) Reference Reference
  Earthen floor 33 88.9 (63.2–125.1) 0.9 (0.6–1.3) 0.9 (0.6–1.3) 47 160.7 (120.7–213.9) 1.1 (0.8–1.5) 1.1 (0.8–1.5)
 Source of water supplyb
  Unprotected 140 97.2 (82.4–114.7) Reference Reference 182 154.0 (133.2–178.1) Reference Reference
  Protected 56 90.7 (69.8–117.8) 0.8 (0.6–1.1) 0.8 (0.6–1.1) 64 159.0 (124.5–203.1) 1.0 (0.8–1.4) 1.0 (0.8–1.3)
 Source of energy for cooking
  Electricity 11 70.7 (39.2–127.7) Reference Reference 22 186.4 (122.8–283.2) Reference Reference
  Paraffin/kerosine 64 99.5 (77.8–127.1) 1.9 (0.8–4.4) 1.8 (0.8–4.3) 71 131.8 (104.5–166.4) 0.6 (0.4–0.9) 0.6 (0.4–0.9)
  Firewood 121 96.2 (80.5–115.0) 1.9 (0.8–4.3) 1.9 (0.8–4.3) 154 167.5 (143.0–196.1) 0.8 (0.5–1.1) 0.8 (0.5–1.1)
 Source of light supply
  Electricity 91 100.9 (82.2–124.0) Reference Reference 112 154.5 (128.4–185.9) Reference Reference
  Fossil 105 91.1 (75.3–110.4) 0.8 (0.6–1.1) 0.8 (0.6–1.1) 135 157.8 (133.3–186.8) 1.2 (0.9–1.5) 1.2 (0.9–1.5)
Social factors
 Regular contacts with friends
  Yes 184 93.8 (81.2–108.4) Reference Reference 212 150.8 (131.8–172.6) Reference Reference
  No 11 93.6 (51.8–169.0) 0.9 (0.6–1.5) 0.9 (0.5–1.4) 46 197.4 (147.9–263.6) 1.3 (0.9–1.7) 1.3 (0.9–1.7)
 Regular contacts with family
  Yes 193 93.7 (81.4–107.9) Reference Reference 254 155.7 (137.7–176.1) Reference Reference
  No 2 114.3 (28.6–457.0) 2.0 (0.6–6.2) 1.9 (0.6–6.1) 4 533.3 (200.2–1421.0) 2.2 (1.0–4.7) 2.2 (1.0–4.7)*
 Participation in family activities
  Yes 174 92.5 (79.7–107.3) Reference Reference 227 163.5 (143.5–186.2) Reference Reference
  No 21 109.9 (71.7–168.6) 1.1 (0.6–2.0) 1.1 (0.6–1.9) 28 117.2 (80.9–169.7) 0.8 (0.6–1.2) 0.8 (0.5–1.2)
 Participation in community affairs
  Yes 175 91.3 (78.7–105.9) Reference Reference 226 157.9 (138.6–179.9) Reference Reference
  No 20 125.8 (81.2–195.0) 1.4 (0.8–2.3) 1.4 (0.8–2.2) 32 158.0 (111.8–223.5) 1.0 (0.7–1.5) 1.0 (0.7–1.5)

aAdjusted for age

bUnprotected sources include rivers, stream and unprotected wells

*p < 0.05