Table 1.
The risk to resilience spectrum.
| Risk | Adaptation | Mitigation | Resilience | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiding principles | Incorporate immediate local impacts and longer-term cascading consequences to improve quantification and characterization of firescape vulnerability. | Improve classification typologies developed from collaborative in-depth community-level data to more effectively predict commonalities in firescape adaptation pathways. | Increase adoption of the tailored actions most likely to achieve fire adapted communities and landscapes through integrative and cooperative partnerships. | Co-develop adaptable decision support tools to increase resiliency and reduce community vulnerability through simulation of end-to-end data-enabled scenarios. |
| Priorities to advance guiding principles | (1) Characterize firescape vulnerability in the context of global change; (2) Identify and evaluate cascading consequences of wildfires across broad spatiotemporal scales using natural, physical, and social sciences; and (3) Evaluate bottom-up and top-down approaches to predict firescape trajectories and potential impacts on ecosystem goods and services. | (1) Synthesize factors and drivers that perpetuate the fire suppression paradigm; (2) Identify the common factors most likely to facilitate human adaptation to wildfire. (3) Codevelop alternative adaptation strategies to reduce community vulnerability given place-based knowledge, experience, and local culture. | (1) Coproduce “blueprints” for community and landscape mitigative activities that reduce wildfire vulnerability. (2) Codevelop fire-resilient materials through collaborative partnerships with production, application, and risk assessment industries. (3) Co-apply science-based knowledge in partnership with wildland fire mitigation organizations. | (1) Codevelop fire-related modules for ecosystem models that predict crucial thresholds and tipping points for important ecosystem goods and services. (2) Coproduce transparent, spatially explicit and accessible platforms that couple natural, physical, and social systems models. (3) Co-apply firescape adaptation scenarios to fire planning, adoption of mitigation actions, and collaboration across jurisdictions. |