. 2018 Jan 8;16(2):243–257. doi: 10.1007/s40258-017-0369-z

Table 2.

Mean values (90% CIs) for the pathogen-specific parameters of the model (results from 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations)

Parameter and short description	Campylobacter	Salmonella	EHEC	Yersinia	Shigella
G: Probability of submitted stool sample being analyzed for pathogen (GP)	0.99^a	0.99^a	0.33 (0.17–0.52)	0.85^a	0.99^a
H: Probability of submitted stool sample being analyzed for pathogen (hospital)	0.99^a	0.99^a	0.51 (0.25–0.67)	0.85^a	0.99^a
I: Probability that test will detect pathogen	0.78 (0.76–0.80)	0.78 (0.76–0.80)	0.89 (0.84–0.93)	0.62 (0.54–0.70)	0.75^a
J: Probability of having bloody diarrhea	0.19 (0.07–0.34)	0.35 (0.08–0.67)	0.74 (0.30–0.99)	0.39 (0.15–0.67)	0.29 (0.05–0.65)
K: Probability of death	0.00004 (0.00003–0.00005)	0.00035 (0.00026–0.00040)	0.00071 (0.00053–0.00081)	0.00002 (0.00002–0.00003)	0.00010 (0.00010–0.00015)
L: Reported cases (all)	8901^a	2500^a	536^a	268^a	306^a
M: Reported hospitalized cases	972^a	294^a	50^a	20^a	21^a

CI credibility interval, EHEC enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli, GP general practitioner

^aPoint estimate with no associated CI