Table 4.

Mean annual number of cases (90% CIs) for the different outcome classes of the main pathogens and their sequelae (results from 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations)

	Campylobacter	Salmonella	EHEC	Yersinia	Shigella
Main pathogen
1: No care	83,803 (43,073–138,875)	15,019 (4383–35,088)	3155 (789–9324)	1950 (726–4071)	2464 (626–5898)
2: GP only	16,512 (14,548–18,477)	4234 (3519–4992)	2327 (1243–4200)	683 (558–827)	589 (485–695)
3: GP, hospital, no death	1401 (1270–1612)	418 (378-483)	125 (85–183)	42 (36–50)	31 (29–36)
4: GP, hospital, death	4 (2–7)	7 (3–14)	4 (2–9)	0 (0–0)	0 (0–1)
Total	101,719 (59,640–158,025)	19,678 (8394–40,456)	5611 (2256–12,898)	2676 (1351–4896)	3084 (1154–6602)
Reactive arthritis
1: No care	9608 (5486–15,182)	1665 (664–3515)	286 (100–671)	243 (80–526)	115 (22–285)
2: GP only	2759 (1231–4902)	964 (366–2078)	165 (56–395)	141 (45–311)	135 (40–314)
3: GP, hospital, no death	555 (88–1428)	339 (89–805)	58 (14–153)	50 (11–123)	58 (11–151)
Total	12921 (7525–20,191)	2968 (1254–6145)	509 (191–1184)	433 (151–915)	308 (107–671)
Irritable bowel syndrome
1: No care	4362 (2472–6985)	844 (350–1743)	241 (94–549)	115 (56–213)	132 (48–284)
2: GP only	3748 (2124–6002)	725 (300–1498)	207 (81–472)	99 (48–183)	114 (41–244)
3: GP, hospital, no death	915 (518–1465)	177 (73–366)	51 (20–115)	24 (12–45)	28 (10–60)
Total	9025 (5114–14,452)	1746 (723–3607)	499 (195–1137)	237 (116–440)	274 (100–588)
Hemolytic uremic syndrome
1: GP, hospital, no dialysis	–	–	81 (21–212)	–	–
2: GP, hospital, dialysis, no death	–	–	125 (32–326)	–	–
3: GP, hospital, dialysis, death	–	–	9 (2–22)	–	–
Total	–	–	215 (56–559)	–	–
Guillain–Barré syndrome
1: GP, hospital, no ventilation	31 (16–56)	–	–	–	–
2: GP, hospital, ventilation, no death	9 (4–16)	–	–	–	–
3: GP, hospital, ventilation, death	2 (1–5)	–	–	–	–
Total	42 (22–76)	–	–	–	–

CI credibility interval, EHEC enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli, GP general practitioner