Table 2.
Expected reduction in patients with invasive colorectal cancer by 15%, per-person potential life-years (LYs) saved and aggregate potential LYs saved in the population.
| Incidence rate in 2007 (per 100,000 population)a,g | Incidence rate in 2020 (per 100,000 population)b | Projected population in 2020c | Expected reduction in the number of CRCd | Life expectancy for CRC patients (SE) | Life expectancy for reference population (SE) | Per-person LYs saved (SE)e | Aggregate LYs savedf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 46.90 | 39.90 | 333,895,553 | 23,821 | – | – | – | 149,493 |
| Sex | ||||||||
| Male | 54.50 | 46.33 | 164,811,926 | 13,473 | 10.45 (0.01) | 16.73 (0.01) | 6.28 (0.01) | 84,569 |
| Female | 40.80 | 34.68 | 169,083,627 | 10,348 | 11.13 (0.01) | 17.40 (0.01) | 6.27 (0.01) | 64,924 |
| Race/ethnicity* | ||||||||
| Non-Hispanic White | 46.40 | 39.44 | 199,312,742 | 13,872 | 10.36 (0.01) | 16.41 (0.01) | 6.06 (0.01) | 84,002 |
| Non-Hispanic Black | 56.10 | 47.69 | 41,775,711 | 3515 | 10.55 (0.02) | 18.31 (0.03) | 7.75 (0.02) | 27,260 |
| Hispanic | 40.70 | 34.60 | 63,784,157 | 3894 | 13.34 (0.02) | 21.91 (0.03) | 8.57 (0.03) | 33,380 |
| Age group (years)* | ||||||||
| 50–54 | 57.00 | 48.45 | 20,466,535 | 1750 | 19.44 (0.03) | 28.75 (0.03) | 9.31 (0.02) | 16,292 |
| 55–59 | 76.70 | 65.20 | 21,747,043 | 2502 | 16.06 (0.03) | 24.45 (0.02) | 8.39 (0.02) | 20,989 |
| 60–64 | 107.40 | 91.29 | 21,016,992 | 3386 | 12.92 (0.02) | 20.45 (0.03) | 7.53 (0.02) | 25,482 |
| 65–69 | 162.50 | 138.13 | 18,052,082 | 4400 | 10.93 (0.02) | 16.68 (0.03) | 5.75 (0.02) | 25,307 |
| 70–74 | 211.90 | 180.12 | 14,744,309 | 4686 | 8.51 (0.02) | 13.17 (0.02) | 4.67 (0.02) | 21,864 |
| 75–79 | 264.50 | 224.83 | 10,009,961 | 3971 | 6.49 (0.01) | 10.16 (0.02) | 3.67 (0.02) | 14,580 |
| 80+ | 333.30 | 283.31 | 13,162,518 | 6581 | 3.94 (0.01) | 6.30 (0.01) | 2.36 (0.01) | 15,528 |
SE, standard error.
Source: Healthy People 2020, 2014.
Incidence rate in 2007 × (1–0.15).
Source: United States Census Bureau (USCB), 2012. National Population Projections.
Expected reduction in the number of CRC patients = Difference in incidence rates between 2007 and 2020 × projected 2020 population.
LYs saved = life expectancy of the reference population – life expectancy of CRC patients.
Aggregate LYs saved was calculated by multiplying the estimated reduction in the number of CRC patients with per-person LYs saved.
Incidence rate for each age group is not age adjusted.
p < 0.05 for statistical tests comparing per-person LYs saved between groups.