A) Task design. Participants made an initial left/right motion discrimination
judgment, after which they saw additional post-decision motion of variable
coherence moving in the same direction as pre-decision motion. They were asked
to rate their confidence in their initial choice on a scale from 0% (certainly
wrong) – 100% (certainly correct). Confidence scale steps were
additionally labeled with the words “certainly wrong”,
“probably wrong”, “maybe wrong”, “maybe
correct”, “probably correct”, “certainly
correct” (not shown). B) Bayesian graphical model indicating how pre- and
post-decision motion samples are combined with the chosen action to update an
estimate of decision confidence. C) Simulated decision variables from the model
in (B) showing a distinction between updating evidence in the coordinate frame
of motion direction (left panel) and choice accuracy (middle panel) as a
function of post-decision motion strength and choice. A change in log-odds
correct (“post-decision evidence”; PDE) is revealed by a
qualitative interaction between post-decision motion strength and choice
accuracy (middle panel). The right panel indicates the expected mapping between
log-odds correct and both final confidence/decision value. Confidence and value
are dissociated on change-of-mind trials (confidence < 0.5) through use
of a quadratic scoring rule, which rewards subjects for both being confident and
right, and unconfident and wrong.