Table 3.
Transition probabilities from baseline (rows) to 6 month follow up (columns) for the four status model overall and by perceived treatment need
| (a) Overall Transition Probabilities (N=735) | ||||
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| Heroin Injection (38%) | Co-Injection (15%) | Heroin & Meth Injection (32%) | Polydrug & Polyroute (14%) | |
| Heroin Injection (38%) | .71 | .09 | .13 | .07 |
| Co-Injection (3%) | .00 | .48 | .35 | .18 |
| Heroin & Meth Injection (37%) | .18 | .21 | .60 | .02 |
| Polydrug & Polyroute (22%) | .23 | .13 | .18 | .47 |
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| (b) Probabilities of transitioning between statuses if reported great or urgent need for help c (N = 375) | ||||
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| Heroin Injection (38%) | Co-Injection (15%) | Heroin & Meth Injection (32%) | Polydrug & Polyroute (14%) | |
| Heroin Injection (38%) | .66 | .13 | .08 | .13 |
| Co-Injection (3%) | .00 | .53 | .00 | .47 |
| Heroin & Meth Injection (37%) | .21 | .08 | .53 | .18 |
| Polydrug & Polyroute (22%) | .18 | .24 | .01 | .58 |
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| (c) Probabilities of transitioning between statuses if reported none or some need for help (N = 360) | ||||
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| Heroin Injection (38%) | Co-Injection (15%) | Heroin & Meth Injection (32%) | Polydrug & Polyroute (14%) | |
| Heroin Injection (38%) | .77 | .07 | .04 | .12 |
| Co-Injection (3%) | .00 | .46 | .31 | .24 |
| Heroin & Meth Injection (37%) | .24 | .19 | .40 | .18 |
| Polydrug & Polyroute (22%) | .13 | .17 | .03 | .67 |
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| (d) Odds ratios of transitioning for those reporting great or urgent need for help vs. none or some need for help (N = 735) | ||||
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| Heroin Injection (38%) | Co-Injection (15%) | Heroin & Meth Injection (32%) | Polydrug & Polyroute (14%) | |
| Heroin Injection (38%) | 1.00 | 2.11 | 2.49 | 1.31 |
| Co-Injection (3%) | (--) | 1.00 | .00 | 1.67 |
| Heroin & Meth Injection (37%) | .68 | .31 | 1.00 | .72 |
| Polydrug & Polyroute (22%) | 1.60 | 1.63 | .41 | 1.00 |