Table 1.
A comparison between rainfall data and model simulated data for Bamako, Mali, and Mbita, Kenya
| Characteristic | Bamako | Mbita | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed | Simulated | Observed | Simulated | |
| Mean wet day amount (mm) | 4.90 | 4.65 | 9.13 | 9.76 |
| Standard deviation of wet day amount (mm) | 4.80 | 4.61 | 13.30 | 13.90 |
| Median amount (mm) | 0.00 | 0.04 | 3.35 | 1.82 |
| Prob. (dry tomorrow|dry today) | 0.87 | 0.90 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| Prob. (wet tomorrow|wet today) | 0.67 | 0.66 | 0.85 | 0.79 |
| Prob. (wet) | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Mean wet spell length (days) | 7.65 | 9.58 | 2.87 | 3.10 |
| Mean dry spell length (days) | 2.99 | 2.91 | 6.61 | 4.68 |
| Standard deviation of monthly totals (mm) | 56.78 | 50.88 | 103.14 | 102.47 |
| Maximum daily precipitation (mm) | 110.75 | 42.26 | 158.95 | 222.83 |
| Lag 1 autocorrelation | 0.41 | 0.46 | 0.29 | 0.51 |
For simulated series, the values represent averages across 100 replicates