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. 2018 Apr 4;11:224. doi: 10.1186/s13071-018-2781-0

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© The Author(s). 2018

Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

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Fig. 10 — 95% confidence interval of coefficient estimates of variables from cross-validation multi-models and full dataset multi-model. Specific humidity in August had the lowest probability of being included in a multi-model. Soil moisture in March and August and temperature in June and August had relatively high probability of being among the competing models. Compared to the full model estimates, the 95% CI of parameter estimates from the cross-validation sets did not vary markedly. Note: multi-models for cross-validation years 2007, 2011 and 2014 not included; only one model was within 95% of the cumulative BIC weight for each of these years