Table 6.

Multi-model inferred averaged model, from dataset omitting cross-validation years 2007, 2011 and 2014. Top models selected using delta BIC < 6. Effect size, directionality, 95% CI  and relative importance of predictors closely resemble those of the predictors generated using the full dataset and 95% cumulative sum of BIC weights (Table 4)

Month	Variable	Coefficient estimate	95% CI	Relative importance
	Intercept	0	0.00–0.00	–
March	Soil moisture	0.48	0.36–0.60	1.00
June	Temperature	-0.57	-0.70– -0.44	1.00
July	Specific humidity	-0.49	-0.61– -0.36	0.78
August	Specific humidity	-0.60	-0.79– -0.40	1.00
August	Soil moisture	-0.33	-0.46– -0.19	0.95

Abbreviation: CI confidence interval