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. 2018 Mar 13;3(4):e167–e176. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(18)30026-4

Table 2.

Adjusted HR of incident diabetes in men according to smoking status

Urban
Rural
Overall
Cases (n) Rate* HR (95% CI)
Cases (n) Rate* HR (95% CI)
Cases (n) Rate* HR (95% CI)
Model 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2
Never-smokers 400 2·80 1·00 (0·90–1·11) 1·00 (0·90–1·11) 319 2·60 1·00 (0·89–1·12) 1·00 (0·89–1·12) 719 2·68 1·00 (0·93–1·08) 1·00 (0·93–1·08)
Ex-smokers 229 3·11 1·21 (1·06–1·38) 1·11 (0·98–1·27) 201 2·59 1·09 (0·95–1·25) 1·00 (0·87–1·14) 430 2·82 1·15 (1·05–1·27) 1·05 (0·96–1·16)
Occasional smokers 268 3·07 1·10 (0·98–1·25) 1·09 (0·97–1·24) 291 2·96 1·11 (0·99–1·24) 1·14 (1·01–1·28) 559 3·00 1·11 (1·02–1·21) 1·12 (1·03–1·21)
Ever-regular smokers 1426 3·31 1·11 (1·05–1·18) 1·18 (1·12–1·25) 2060 2·87 0·97 (0·93–1·02) 1·10 (1·05–1·15) 3486 3·05 1·04 (1·00–1·08) 1·14 (1·10–1·18)
p for heterogeneity .. .. 0·14 0·045 .. .. 0·12 0·20 .. .. 0·061 0·019

Model 1 was stratified by age at risk and study area and adjusted for education, alcohol consumption, and physical activity. Model 2 was additionally adjusted for body-mass index and waist circumference. HR=hazard ratio. Ex-smokers=ex-smokers who stopped by choice. Ever-regular smokers=current smokers and ex-smokers who stopped because of illness.

*

Incidence rate per 1000 person-years was calculated from the HRs (model 2) using a weighted method with the number of events in each group as the weighting variable.